随着11月3日的临近,美国大选吸引着来自全世界的目光。而大法官金斯伯格的去世,又给这场胶着的“赛事”增加了几分不确定因素。
CGTN新推出的交互页面提供了我们结合各家民调、网上舆论和两位候选人的竞选资金筹集情况等数据,对2020年美国大选做出的深入分析。CGTN has launched an interactive page offering in-depth analysis of the 2020 race for the White House, featuring exclusive data covering national and state-by-state polling, online sentiment towards Donald Trump and Joe Biden and the candidates' fundraising efforts. Each week we'll crunch the numbers in search of trends that indicate changes in the trajectory of the battle for the U.S. presidency.
根据我们对美国各大公开民意调查的分析,目前拜登在全国范围内仍领先特朗普7.7个百分点。
正如2016年大选所显示的那样,在美国,全民投票并不是决定总统选举的因素。分析表明,在决定选举人团的关键战场上,竞争更加激烈。
这一点,我们从过去的几天亚利桑那州、佛罗里达州、乔治亚州、爱荷华州、北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和德克萨斯州等关键州的支持率摇摆中就可以看出。
Biden retains a 7.7-point national lead over Trump, according to an average of publicly-available opinion polling analyzed by CGTN.As the 2016 election showed, the popular vote isn't what decides presidential elections in the United States. A look at the state-by-state analysis suggests that in the critical battlegrounds that will decide the Electoral College, the race is much tighter.Over the past seven days we've seen an intense contest from the candidates' polls in key states, including Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas.我们正在使用独家的人工智能技术来观察与大选相关的推文,每24小时更新一次,以反映有关两位候选人的评论是正面、负面还是中性的,并从中挑选出这个时段的较有代表性的三条推文。CGTN is using exclusive AI technology to weigh sentiment towards tweets related to the election, updating every 24 hours to reflect whether comments about Trump and Biden are positive, negative or neutral, and identifying three standout tweets from the period.
Sentiment analysis of 276,538 tweets related to the U.S. election over the past 24 hours shows 19.1% were positive about Trump and 12.8%were negative, while 7.1%were positive about Biden and 1.3% were negative.The most heated topic related to the election on Twitter is #Vote.我们还会梳理联邦选举委员会(Federal Election Commission)发布的竞选筹款和支出数据。
目前,两位总统候选人总共筹集了超过10亿美元,其中特朗普团队筹集了4.71亿美元,拜登团队筹集了5.3亿美元。
在特朗普筹集的款项中,62.8%的款项不到200美元,而拜登收到的筹款中有54.3%不到200美元。
CGTN is also filtering data released by the Federal Election Commission to document campaign donations and spending, both nationally and state by state.Of the money donated to Trump, 62.8 percent came from donations of less than 200 U.S. dollars while 54.3 percent of Biden's came from donations under 200 dollars.
评论漫画丨美国大选—中美关系的脱钩器?
CGTN评论漫画丨大选在即欲力挽颓势,美极力鼓吹“中国威胁”