视点｜欧洲深陷俄乌冲突泥淖，如何摆脱“猴子陷阱”？

2月21日，中国发布《全球安全倡议概念文件》，呼吁通过谈判对话等和平方式为乌克兰局势降温。而此时的美国动作不断——拜登突访乌克兰、宣布增加价值5亿美元军援、向欧洲盟友持续施压。在接受刘欣采访时，席勒研究所战略分析师侯赛因·阿斯卡里（Hussein Askary）用“猴子陷阱”这个精妙比喻点破了俄乌冲突中的地缘政治算计。是谁设下“猴子陷阱”把欧洲国家耍得团团转？俄乌冲突能否迎来关键转折？一起来听！

Is Europe now a monkey in the trap? "China's proposals for peace will help the Europeans to understand that they are in a real trap, and it's best for them to drop that banana," says Hussein Askary from Schiller Institute. "Nobody can win the Ukraine crisis."

Hussein Askary: And that fortunately, we have now, voices of reason. It was very important that the Chinese State Councilor Wang Yi was in the Munich Security Conference as the only person who presented any discussion about peace because that term is disappearing very quickly from the general discussion.

侯赛因·阿斯卡里：幸运的是，我们现在听到了理性的声音。中国国务委员王毅是慕尼黑安全会议上唯一提出要讨论和平的人，这非常重要。

I think this is very, very important that we focus and mobilize for a peaceful outcome of this, because nobody can win this war. It will only lead to further escalation.

我认为关注并争取一个和平的结果是非常非常重要的，因为这场冲突中没有赢家，这场冲突只会导致危机一步步升级。

What I think is that Europe now is in a monkey trap, this trap set for monkeys, where you put a banana inside the cage. And there is a little hole which the monkey can reach the banana but cannot pull out both the hand and the banana from the cage. And that keeps them in a trap.

我认为欧洲现在处于“猴子陷阱”中，“猴子陷阱”就是布置一个装置，里面放一根香蕉。猴子从（装置上的）洞可以摸到香蕉，但洞不够大，猴子无法把香蕉拿出去，猴子不愿放手，就困住了。

And I hope that China's proposal for peace will help the Europeans to understand that they are in a real trap. It's best that they drop, that banana, which is a "victory" in Ukraine and won for freedom.

我希望中国关于和平的建议能帮助欧洲人理解，他们是正处于这样一个陷阱里，他们最好放下那根香蕉，也就是欧洲在乌克兰问题上的胜利，以获得自由。

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