【讲座】The Occupational Structure of Late Imperial China, 1734–1898
【量化历史网上讲座系列】(Quantitative History Webinar Series)由香港大学陈志武和马驰骋教授联合发起，旨在介绍前沿量化历史研究成果、促进同仁交流，推广量化方法在历史研究中的应用。本系列讲座由国际量化历史学会、香港大学经管学院和香港人文社会研究所全力支持和承办。
第67场讲座信息
The Occupational Structure of Late Imperial China, 1734–1898
主讲人: Cheng Yang（杨成）, Assistant Professor in Economic History, Renmin University of China
评论人: Debin Ma（马德斌）, Professor of Economic History, University of Oxford [Areas of Excellence (AoE) QH project team member]
时间：2022年12月01日 16:00 - 17:30 （北京时间，星期四）
讲座语言：English
注册链接及二维码：
https://hku.zoom.us/webinar/register/6216695440775/WN_2xvIBk8CTFySk-gXab8wyw
讲座介绍
Based on the Xingke Tiben (刑科题本 Board of Punishments Routine Memorials), Cheng Yang of Renmin University of China assesses the long-run economic development of China, by constructing a new estimate of the male occupational structure during 1734–1898 by sector, sub-sector pattern, and region. After assessing the source's biases, using this new empirical basis, he demonstrates that the national male occupational structure was nearly identical in 1761–70, 1821–30, and 1881–90, suggesting a long-lasting structural stasis of the national economy, allowing for fluctuations between benchmark dates. Within agriculture, substantial regional differences in labour organisation are revealed.
In this Quantitative History Webinar, Cheng Yang will present the three distinct models found in his study: the Northern Regions model features a high usage of wage labour, the Yangtze Valley model presents a high level of tenancy development, and the Southern Regions model displays the highest share of landowners. All three models saw increasing use of wage labour in 1761–1890 and shrinking landownership in 1821–90. At the regional level, the long-run estimate for Lower Yangtze suggests that the region as a whole stagnated throughout the entire period, but the overall structural stasis hides dynamic, contrasting long-run economic change between the region's core and peripheral areas. Comparative analysis with England further suggests that the timing of the Great Divergence between China and England took place before 1734, even in the context of the regional difference.
Webinar replay will not be made available, so don't miss out on this live event.
About the Speaker: Cheng Yang is also a member of the Cambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structures
“量化历史研究”公众号由陈志武（香港大学郑裕彤基金讲席教授、原耶鲁大学教授）及其团队——林展（中国人民大学）、熊金武（中国政法大学）、何石军（武汉大学）、蒋勤（上海交通大学）、彭雪梅（中山大学）等人负责。向学界和业界朋友，定期推送量化历史研究经典、前沿文献。同时作为“量化历史讲习班”信息交流平台。喜欢我们的朋友请搜寻公众号：QuantitativeHistory，或扫描下面二维码关注。
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