沿着数字“一带一路”实现高质量发展

Achieving High-quality Development along the Digital Belt and Road

《上海财经大学学报》2023年25卷第1期 页码：64 - 78 online：2023年2月1日

作者

中：伦晓波1, 刘颜2

英：Lun Xiaobo1, Liu Yan2

作者单位：1.上海立信会计金融学院 金融学院, 上海 201209; 2.湖南大学 马克思主义学院, 湖南 长沙 410082

摘要及关键词

摘要：深化数字经济领域合作是“一带一路”高质量发展的重要组成部分。文章基于数字“一带一路”的理论和实践，探讨数字“一带一路”推动沿线国家高质量发展的理论机理。结合数字经济的内涵和特征，文章从数字基础设施、数字制度环境、数字商业生态三个维度构建评价体系，采用主成分分析法测算全球各国和地区数字经济发展水平，实证检验数字“一带一路”对沿线国家高质量发展的影响效应和作用机制。研究发现，“一带一路”倡议显著提升了沿线国家高质量发展水平；“一带一路”倡议通过促进数字经济发展正向作用于高质量发展；差异化分析表明，“一带一路”倡议的高质量发展效应显著存在于高收入组国家，但不存在于低收入组国家；无论对海上还是陆上丝绸之路沿线国家、邻近还是非邻近沿线国家，“一带一路”倡议都具有显著的高质量发展效应。文章提供了“一带一路”倡议推动数字经济发展进而促进高质量发展的经验证据，对发挥“一带一路”数字经济和高质量发展协同效应有所启示。

关键词：数字经济；“一带一路”；高质量发展；收入

Summary: The high-quality development of the Belt and Road is an important goal of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the following time. It is also an important link in dual circulation. Deepening digital economy cooperation is an important part of the high-quality development of the Belt and Road.Based on the theory and practice of the digital Belt and Road, this paper studies the theoretical mechanism of how the digital Belt and Road promotes the high-quality development of countries along the route. At the same time, combined with the connotation and characteristics of the digital economy, this paper constructs an evaluation system from the dimensions of digital infrastructure, digital policy environment, and digital business ecology, and measures the digital economy development using the principal component analysis. The research finds that: First, the global digital economy is developing rapidly, but unbalanced development still exists; the phenomenon of “the strong are always strong and the weak are always weak” is prominent; the development level of the digital economy in countries along the route is significantly lower than that in other countries; some countries have achieved breakthrough development in the digital economy. Second, the Belt and Road Initiative has significantly improved the high-quality development of countries along the route. Third, the Belt and Road Initiative has a positive effect on high-quality development by promoting the development of the digital economy. Fourth, the heterogeneous effect analysis suggests that the policy effect significantly exists in high-income group countries, but not in low-income group countries. The Belt and Road Initiative requires countries along the route to have a certain economic foundation in order to maximize the beneficial role. No matter for countries along the Overland Silk Road or Maritime Silk Road, and for countries adjacent to China or not, the policy effect is significant.This paper proves that the digital Belt and Road has turned into a fruitful reality from a beautiful vision, and delivers important implications for high-quality development. Based on this, we should further promote the construction of the digital Belt and Road, smooth the new development pattern of dual circulation, form the synergy effect of digital economy development and high-quality development, and improve differentiated cooperation plans for the digital Belt and Road.

Key words:digital economy; the Belt and Road Initiative; high-quality development; income

其他信息

DOI：10.16538/j.cnki.jsufe.2023.01.005

收稿日期：2022-09-22

基金项目：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目（19YJCZH113）；教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目（22YJC790085）

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