工控译文 | 全球运动控制市场恢复稳健增长
Following a significant market decline in 2015, the global motion control market regained a concrete growth in 2016, totalling over $10.8 billion hardware revenues, with more than 21 million units shipped. Looking forward, IHS Markit expects the world market for motion control controls to sustain a steady growth trend, registering a 4.4 percent revenue CAGR from 2016 to 2021, reaching nearly $13.4 billion in revenues in 2021.
在2015年市场大幅下滑之后，全球运动控制市场在2016年恢复了实质性增长，总计超过108亿美元的硬件收入，出货量超过2100万台。展望未来，IHS Markit预计，全球运动控制市场将保持稳定的增长态势，从2016年到2021年的复合年增长率为4.4％，2021年的收入约达134亿美元。
The GMC and CNC markets had varying performance in 2016. Driven by the growing demands from various end markets, revenues for the global GMC market increased by five percentage points in 2016, to be valued at $6.9 billion. However, the CNC market contracted by 2.9 percent, reaching about $3.9 billion, largely due to sluggish machine tool markets in the United States and Japan. Similar to the impact of the currency fluctuation on the market in 2015, Chinese renminbi devaluation (down 6.6 percent) and Japanese yen appreciation (up 10.1 percent) affected revenues for Asian and Japanese markets, presented in U.S. dollar in the study.
通用运动控制（GMC）和数控（CNC）市场在2016年有不同的表现。随着各个终端市场不断增长的需求，2016年全球GMC市场收入上涨了5个百分点，达69亿美元。然而，数控市场收缩了2.9％，约为39亿美元，主要是由于美国和日本的机床市场疲软。类似于2015年货币波动对市场的影响，中国人民币贬值（下降6.6％）和日元升值（上涨10.1％）影响了亚洲和日本市场以美元计算的营收。
The performance of downstream industries, in particular the machinery sectors, greatly determines the growth of the motion control market. The machine tools segment (comprising both the metal cutting and metal forming subsectors) was the largest for motion controls globally in 2016 in terms of revenue, totaling more than $4.1 billion. This sector is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 3.8 percent, lower than that of the total global market. As machine tools take a predominant share of downstream industries for CNC market, its slower-than-market-average growth results in the slower growth forecast for CNC products (a revenue CAGR of 4.2%) than GMC products (a 4.5% revenue CAGR). Global robotic revenues are predicted to grow the most, at a 13.3 percent CAGR from 2016 to 2021, displacing packaging machinery to become the second-largest industry for motion controls (with $1.4 billion in revenues in 2021). In addition, various end markets of food and beverages, materials handling, medical equipment, PV equipment and semiconductor machinery are expected to drive increasing demand for motion control products. However, traditional automation sectors including textile machinery, paper and paperboard machinery, printing machinery, rubber & plastics and machinery face various challenges resulting in a slower growth forecast than the market average, over the forecast period.
下游行业，特别是机械行业的表现，极大地决定了运动控制市场的增长。2016年，机床行业（包括金属切割和金属成型细分行业）占全球运动控制市场营收最大，总收入超41亿美元。该行业预计将以3.8％的年均复合增长率增长，低于全球市场总额。由于机床在数控市场占下游行业的主要份额，其低于市场平均水平的增长导致数控产品（收入年均增幅4.2％）的增长预期较GMC产品（收入年均增幅4.5％）放缓。全球机器人收入预计将增长最多，从2016年到2021年，复合增长率达到13.3％，紧随其后的是包装机械行业（2021年收入为14亿美元）。此外，食品饮料、物料搬运、医疗器械、光伏设备、半导体机械等终端市场有望推动运动控制产品需求的增长。不过，纺织机械、纸张和纸板机械、印刷机械、橡胶和塑料机械等传统自动化行业面临着各种挑战，导致在预测期内，增长预期低于市场平均水平。
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