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【老外看疫情3】英国前高官:抗击疫情是当下中国首要任务(中英双语)

罗思义 人大重阳 2020-08-31
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作者罗思义(John Ross)系前英国伦敦经济与商业政策署署长,中国人民大学重阳金融研究院高级研究员,本文中文编辑版刊于2月9日中国日报网,英文版刊于2月10日CGTN网。



面对新型冠状病毒疫情,我首先想到的是中国人民,他们正面临着沉重的压力,在某些情况下还面临着个人安危。更重要的是,我要向奋战在前线的中国医务和应急服务人员致敬,他们应对的这场危机不仅威胁着中国,也威胁着全世界每一个国家。


但面对如此严峻的形势,首先需要的是现实主义和清醒头脑,简单的“乐观主义”和“悲观主义”情绪绝对没有帮助,恐慌或夸张事实更是毫无益处。而我本人能做的最有用的事情,就是清楚地分析国际上有关该病毒的数据。

一些西方媒体正试图捏造事实,这是可耻的。但幸运的是,仍有一些认真负责的西方组织意识到了这一威胁,并正在提供尽可能准确的信息。

例如,世界著名的研究型大学美国约翰·霍普金斯大学无视美国媒体的反华宣传,坚持发布有关冠状病毒的客观数据,因此,我将使用其发布的最新数据。

第一个关键数据是,截至本文撰写时湖北的疫情非常严重,全球约97%的死亡病例来自湖北。另外,湖北省公布的确诊病例中的死亡率为2.8%,这同样是一个非常严重的数字。

为应对这一威胁,中国政府正派遣大量医务人员支援湖北。

但数据显示,尽管中国政府采取了上述行动以及检疫隔离等其他果断措施,但鉴于集中在湖北的疫情事态发展,迄今为止疫情对中国和世界仍构成巨大的挑战。

截至本文撰写时,中国除湖北以外地区的死亡率仅为0.18%。这意味着在湖北以外地区,每1000名感染者就有998人存活。同时,截至本文撰写时,中国境外仅有一例患者死亡的案例。这都表明了中国政府所采取措施的有效性。

这些数据清楚地表明,湖北的局势极为严峻,但是到目前为止,中国政府在湖北以外的确防控疫情的行动是成功的。显然,问题的关键是,中国政府的这些努力能够继续取得成功,并且中国为消除湖北疫情中心地带而投入的巨大努力也能够取得成功。

因此,中国和世界其他地区都需要依靠医务人员,尤其是湖北与中国各地的医务人员,以及中国政府的英勇努力来遏制该病毒。

中国对新型抗冠状病毒的行动在西方受到了以世界卫生组织为首的医学专业人士的高度赞扬,这些专业人士都拥有丰富的医学知识。然而,部分对医疗问题一无所知的西方媒体人士却正在借疫情攻击中国,这恰恰反应了大多数西方媒体的荒谬和完全不负责任的行为。

总之,如果疫情得不到控制,它将对全球和全类构成严重威胁。但迄今为止,中国政府采取的果断行动有效遏制了这一威胁,受到了世界卫生组织和其他负责任的国际机构的高度赞扬。湖北省的疫情十分严重,中国医务人员面临着严峻的挑战,正在为遏制病毒而战斗,他们不仅是战斗在中国对抗疫情的最前线,同时也是战斗在全人类对抗疫情的最前线。不仅中国,整个世界都完全依赖他们。
(翻译:武音璇)


The coronavirus is in the first place a threat to the Chinese people

My thoughts are, of course, first with all the Chinese people who are going through a time of serious stress, and in some cases personal tragedy, faced with the coronavirus. Above all my thoughts are with the Chinese medical and emergency services who are in the front line for all of humanity against this threat not only to China but to every country.


But faced with such a serious situation above all what is required is realism and clear-headed thinking - there is absolutely no virtue in ‘optimism’, there is no virtue in ‘pessimism’ and least of all is there a virtue in panic or exaggeration. The most useful thing I can do is to analyse clearly the data which is appearing internationally on the virus.


Some Western media is engaging in disgraceful attempts to falsify the situation. But fortunately some serious Western organisations, realising the threat, are giving the most accurate information possible.


For example, John Hopkins University, the world-renowned US research university, continues to defy anti-China propaganda in US media by publishing objective data on the coronavirus – so I am going to use its latest data.


The first key data is that at the time of writing the situation in Hubei very serious – with 97% of the world total of deaths. The mortality rate from those declared with the virus in Hubei is 2.8% - a very serious number.


The Chinese government, to counter this dangerous threat, is pouring medical personnel into Hubei.


But the data shows that this effort, and the quarantine and other decisive measures by the Chinese government, are so far containing a great danger to China and world from developments concentrated in Hubei.


The success of the Chinese government’s measures are shown by the fact that at the time of writing the mortality ratein China outside Hubei is only 0.18%. That means that for every 1,000 people who catch the disease outside Hubei 998 survive.


At the time of writing there is only one death from the coronavirus outside China.


This data means clearly that the situation in Hubei is extremely serious, but so far the Chinese government’s action to contain the virus outside Hubei are being successful. Obviously the decisive question is that these efforts by the Chinese government continue to be successful and that the huge resources being allocated by China to eliminating the virus in its heartland of Hubei are successful.


Both China and the rest of the world are therefore relying on the heroic efforts of medical staff, particularly in Hubei but also rest of China, and the Chinese government, to contain the virus.


China’s actions against the coronavirus are being strongly praised in the West by medical professionals, led by the World Health Organisations, who have serious medical knowledge. But Western media figures, who know nothing serious about medical issues at all, are attacking China. This shows the absurd and completely irresponsible behaviour in large parts of the Western media.


In summary, if the coronavirus is not contained it is a serious threat to the whole of humanity in every country. But so far the decisive actions of the Chinese government, which have been strongly praised by the World Health Organisation and other responsible international bodies, are containing that threat. The suffering in Hubei province is intense and tension is naturally great throughout China’s medical teams, who are the front line not only for their country but for humanity, battle to contain the virus. Not only China but the whole world is entirely depending on them.


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中国人民大学重阳金融研究院(人大重阳)成立于2013年1月19日,是重阳投资董事长裘国根先生向母校捐赠并设立教育基金运营的主要资助项目。

 

作为中国特色新型智库,人大重阳聘请了全球数十位前政要、银行家、知名学者为高级研究员,旨在关注现实、建言国家、服务人民。目前,人大重阳下设7个部门、运营管理4个中心(生态金融研究中心、全球治理研究中心、中美人文交流研究中心、中俄人文交流研究中心)。近年来,人大重阳在金融发展、全球治理、大国关系、宏观政策等研究领域在国内外均具有较高认可度。


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