IFPRI参与发表新研究：《统筹兼顾：新冠肺炎疫情防控与经济发展》

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近日，浙江大学中国农村发展研究院讲席教授、国际食物政策研究所(IFPRI)高级研究员陈志钢，同浙江大学长聘副教授龚斌磊，博士生张书睿、袁菱苒合作撰写了论文：《统筹兼顾：新冠肺炎疫情防控与经济发展(A Balance Act: Minimizing Economic Loss while Controlling Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia)》，并在Journal of Chinese Governance杂志在线发表。

Abstract 摘要

The outbreak of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia (NCP) has significantly affected China and beyond. How to effectively control such epidemic has gradually become a global issue. This paper reviews the economic impact of major epidemics such as SARS, H1N1, and Ebola at the micro-, sector-, and macro-level. The challenge of effective epidemic control is to achieve a balance between viral transmission reduction and economic cost. This paper then summarizes three main methods to evaluate the effectiveness of several control policies. We also find that the adequacy and authenticity of information disclosure is of great importance to minimize economic loss, as either public panic due to overestimation or lack of public awareness due to underestimation can cause additional negative economic impacts. Accurate and transparent disclosure of information plays a crucial role associated with fighting against the epidemic. Finally, the paper puts forward a number of policy recommendations to minimize economic loss while controlling the spread of COVID-19.

新冠病毒肺炎的爆发对中国乃至全球都产生了重大影响。如何有效控制这种流行病已成为一个全球性的问题。这篇论文回顾了SARS、H1N1和埃博拉等重大突发疫情在微观、中观和宏观层面的经济影响。研究发现，重大突发公共卫生事件应急管理的最大挑战是如何在阻止病毒传播和降低经济成本之间取得平衡。论文总结了文献中评估疫情防控措施效果的三种主要方法。研究还发现，充分和真实的信息披露对于最大限度地减少经济损失具有重要意义，因为无论是高估疫情造成的公众恐慌，还是低估疫情造成的公众防护意识缺失，都可能造成额外的负面经济影响。因此，准确透明的信息披露对于抗击疫情起着至关重要的作用。最后，研究团队提出了统筹兼顾新冠肺炎疫情防控与经济发展的若干政策建议。

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International Food Policy Research Institute(IFPRI)

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