New confirmed coronavirus infections drop by 48.2% in China

(Photo: CGTN)

The number of daily new confirmed novel coronavirus cases in China has seen a 48.2 percent decrease between February 4 and 11, an official of the National Health Commission (NHC) said at a press conference in Beijing on Wednesday.

A total of 2,015 new confirmed cases were reported on Tuesday from 31 provincial-level regions and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps.

The number was compared to 3,887 on February 4.

"The situation is still very serious, but after taken a series of effective measures, it has also seen some positive changes in general," NHC official Mi Feng told reporters.

He said the number of suspected cases each day reported on the Chinese mainland also witnessed a 37.3 percent drop between February 5 and 11, from 5,328 to 3,342.

File photo

While patients that have been discharged from hospital have risen dramatically, with the recovery rate increased from 1.3 percent on January 27 to 10.6 percent on February 11.

According to the latest data released by the NHC, 4,740 people were cured and left hospitals on the Chinese mainland by Tuesday.

CoViD-19: 14,840 New Cases; 242 New Deaths; 802 New Recovered

Expert on virus outbreak: Hidden turning point of its rise exists

Epidemiologist Zeng Guang writes about the turning point of the outbreak on Weibo. /Screenshot via Weibo

The turning point of decline of the current novel coronavirus outbreak has appeared. Still, there is a hidden turning point of its rise, Zeng Guang, chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) wrote on China's social media platform Weibo on Wednesday.

Zeng said that the "turning point" represents the epidemic variation trend. It's a point-in-time.

"There's no need to complicate the idea of turning point," he wrote, adding that the appearance of a turning point doesn't simply mean that the big picture is settled.

Areas outside of Hubei Province have seen a decline in confirmed cases for eight consecutive days from February 4 to 11, according to the National Health Commission.

CGTN Infographic

The expert explained that the turning point is based on the number of confirmed cases. Before being diagnosed, every patient had to go through the process of exposure, infection, incubation period, onset, and being confirmed.

"The actual turning point should have occurred much earlier," Zeng said. 

Chinese respiratory expert Zhong Nanshan predicted Tuesday that the outbreak will reach its peak in mid-to-late February, based on data model analysis, adding that it's hard to say when the turning point will appear.

Zeng wrote that experts of different specialties may have different perceptions about the turning point.

"As I know, experts from China CDC have been analyzing the turning point based on definite diagnosis time and onset time of patients," he explained. "The turning point of decline appeared on January 23, three days after the lock-down of Wuhan, as time goes on, this turning point becomes more and more clear."

Zeng predicted that the turning point of its rise is hard to be avoided since people are returning from their extended holidays.

A cured patient (left) receives a bouquet of flowers from medical staff at the Third People’s Hospital of Tibet in Lhasa, capital of southwest China’s Tibet Autonomous Region, yesterday. The only patient infected with the novel coronavirus in the region was discharged from hospital yesterday afternoon, following an 18-day treatment. The 34-year-old patient is from Suizhou, a city in central China’s hardest-hit Hubei Province. He had traveled from Wuhan, capital of Hubei and the epicenter of the outbreak, to Lhasa by train from January 22 to 24. As of Tuesday, Tibet had not reported any new or suspected cases or deaths caused by the virus for the 13th consecutive day. Meanwhile, China reported its lowest number of new coronavirus cases in nearly two weeks yesterday, lending weight to a forecast by its foremost medical adviser, Zhong Nanshan, for the outbreak to end by April.

"We can't underestimate the negative impact of the movement of 160 million people on the outbreak, areas of Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta, and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region will be the first to be affected," he said, adding that people travel in sealed environment such as long-distance buses, planes, and trains, are easy to be infected by the virus.

The expert wrote in the post that there would be an incubation period between the return travel peak and the turning point of its rise.

"There might be a week of latency based on the definite diagnosis time," he said.

Source: CGTN, Xinhua, JobTubeDaily

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