CRPE双周青年学者论坛NO.353

题  目：Belief, feedback, and academic performance: Evidence from field experiment

报告人：陆方文 教授     中国人民大学经济学院

主持人：叶兵    副教授  浙江大学民营经济研究中心

时   间：2021年5月21日（星期五）

             上午10:00 -11:30             

地点：浙江大学紫金港校区经济学院大楼426会议室

摘  要

This paper explores the impact of providing feedback on midterm test scores to college students in a randomized experiment. Students in an undergraduate econometric course were randomly informed of their midterm test scores individually without knowing the overall distribution and their relative ranking. We find four results. First, more than one third of students prefer not to receive midterm test scores, which is associated with both the self-predicted midterm score and true score. Second, the prediction on midterm test score shows overconfidence on average while that on ranking show some underconfidence. Third, after receiving their test scores, the ex-ante overconfident students shift their base for ranking prediction from their predicted score to the actual score significant, while the under-confident students improve their prediction on the relative ranking. Forth, although the intervention shifts the predicted midterm ranking by 12 points among overconfident students, its impact on the prediction of the final exam score is only 4 points, which is not statistically significant. Last, among overconfident students, the intervention worsen their relative standing in the distribution of actual final exam scores. The deteriorating effect concentrates among the part of overconfident students who prefer to receive information on midterm test score.

报告人简介

陆方文，美国加州伯克利大学经济学博士，现任中国人民大学经济学院教授，荣获2017年度国家级青年人才称号和2018年度国家自科基金优秀青年项目。她擅长运用随机实验方法探讨行为经济学和发展经济学领域的热点难点问题，其研究成果发表在经济学、管理学和医学的顶尖学术期刊，其中包括《British Medical Journal》、《Management Science》、《Journal of Development Economics》、《Journal of Labor Economics》、《Journal of Public Economics》、《Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization》、《经济研究》等，并出版专著《随机实地实验：理论、方法和在中国的运用》。她的论文荣获第五届“教育部全国教育科学研究优秀成果奖”和第十四届和第十六届“北京市哲学社会科学优秀成果奖”。