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中囯布了一个40年的大局,美国发觉却为时已晚!(好文)

华新爆料 2018-11-28





When Paul Jobs was mustered out of the Coast Guard after World War II, he made a wager with his crewmates. They had arrived in San Francisco, where their ship was decommissioned, and Paul bet that he would find himself a wife within two weeks. He was a taut, tattooed engine mechanic, six feet tall, with a passing resemblance to James Dean. But it wasn’t his looks that got him a date with Clara Hagopian, a sweet-humored daughter of Armenian immigrants. It was the fact that he and his friends had a car, unlike the group she had originally planned to go out with that evening. Ten days later, in March 1946, Paul got engaged to Clara and won his wager. It would turn out to be a happy marriage, one that lasted until death parted them more than forty years later.Paul Reinhold Jobs had been raised on a dairy farm in Germantown, Wisconsin. Even though his father was an alcoholic and sometimes abusive, Paul ended up with a gentle and calm disposition under his leathery exterior. After dropping out of high school, he wandered through the Midwest picking up work as a mechanic until, at age nineteen, he joined the Coast Guard, even though he didn’t know how to swim. He was deployed on the USS General M. C. Meigs and spent much of the war ferrying troops to Italy for General Patton. His talent as a machinist and fireman earned him commendations, but he occasionally found himself in minor trouble and never rose above the rank of seaman.Clara was born in New Jersey, where her parents had landed after fleeing the Turks in Armenia, and they moved to the Mission District of San Francisco when she was a child. She had a secret that she rarely mentioned to anyone: She had been married before, but her husband had been killed in the war. So when she met Paul Jobs on that first date, she was primed to start a new life.Like many who lived through the war, they had experienced enough excitement that, when it was over, they desired simply to settle down, raise a family, and lead a less eventful life. They had little money, so they moved to Wisconsin and lived with Paul’s parents for a few years, then headed for Indiana, where he got a job as a machinist for International Harvester. His passion was tinkering with old cars, and he made money in his spare time buying, restoring, and selling them. Eventually he quit his day job to become a full-time used car salesman.Clara, however, loved San Francisco, and in 1952 she convinced her husband to move back there. They got an apartment in the Sunset District facing the Pacific, just south of Golden Gate Park, and he took a job working for a finance company as a “repo man,” picking the locks of cars whose owners hadn’t paid their loans and repossessing them. He also bought, repaired, and sold some of the cars, making a decent enough living in the process.There was, however, something missing in their lives. They wanted children, but Clara had suffered an ectopic pregnancy, in which the fertilized egg was implanted in a fallopian tube rather than the uterus, and she had been unable to have any. So by 1955, after nine years of marriage, they were looking to adopt a child.Like Paul Jobs, Joanne Schieble was from a rural Wisconsin family of German heritage. Her father, Arthur Schieble, had immigrated to the outskirts of Green Bay, where he and his wife owned a mink farm and dabbled successfully in various other businesses, including real estate and photoengraving. He was very strict, especially regarding his daughter’s relationships, and he had strongly disapproved of her first love, an artist who was not a Catholic. Thus it was no surprise that he threatened to cut Joanne off completely when, as a graduate student at the University of Wisconsin, she fell in love with Abdulfattah “John” Jandali, a Muslim teaching assistant from Syria.Jandali was the youngest of nine children in a prominent Syrian family. His father owned oil refineries and multiple other businesses, with large holdings in Damascus and Homs, and at one point pretty much controlled the price of wheat in the region. His mother, he later said, was a “traditional Muslim woman” who was a “conservative, obedient housewife.” Like the Schieble family, the Jandalis put a premium on education. Abdulfattah was sent to a Jesuit boarding school, even though he was Muslim, and he got an undergraduate degree at the American University in Beirut before entering the University of Wisconsin to pursue a doctoral degree in political science.In the summer of 1954, Joanne went with Abdulfattah to Syria. They spent two months in Homs, where she learned from his family to cook Syrian dishes. When they returned to Wisconsin she discovered that she was pregnant. They were both twenty-three, but they decided not to get married. Her father was dying at the time, and he had threatened to disown her if she wed Abdulfattah. Nor was abortion an easy option in a small Catholic community. So in early 1955, Joanne traveled to San Francisco, where she was taken into the care of a kindly doctor who sheltered unwed mothers, delivered their babies, and quietly arranged closed adoptions.Joanne had one requirement: Her child must be adopted by college graduates. So the doctor arranged for the baby to be placed with a lawyer and his wife. But when a boy was born—on February 24, 1955—the designated couple decided that they wanted a girl and backed out. Thus it was that the boy became the son not of a lawyer but of a high school dropout with a passion for mechanics and his salt-of-the-earth wife who was working as a bookkeeper. Paul and Clara named their new baby Steven Paul Jobs.When Joanne found out that her baby had been placed with a couple who had not even graduated from high school, she refused to sign the adoption papers. The standoff lasted weeks, even after the baby had settled into the Jobs household. Eventually Joanne relented, with the stipulation that the couple promise—indeed sign a pledge—to fund a savings account to pay for the boy’s college education.There was another reason that Joanne was balky about signing the adoption papers. Her father was about to die, and she planned to marry Jandali soon after. She held out hope, she would later tell family members, sometimes tearing up at the memory, that once they were married, she could get their baby boy back.Arthur Schieble died in August 1955, after the adoption was finalized. Just after Christmas that year, Joanne and Abdulfattah were married in St. Philip the Apostle Catholic Church in Green Bay. He got his PhD in international politics the next year, and then they had another child, a girl named Mona. After she and Jandali divorced in 1962, Joanne embarked on a dreamy and peripatetic life that her daughter, who grew up to become the acclaimed novelist Mona Simpson, would capture in her book Anywhere but Here. Because Steve’s adoption had been closed, it would be twenty years before they would all find each other.Steve Jobs knew from an early age that he was adopted. “My parents were very open with me about that,” he recalled. He had a vivid memory of sitting on the lawn of his house, when he was six or seven years old, telling the girl who lived across the street. “So does that mean your real parents didn’t want you?” the girl asked. “Lightning bolts went off in my head,” according to Jobs. “I remember running into the house, crying. And my parents said, ‘No, you have to understand.’ They were very serious and looked me straight in the eye. They said, ‘We specifically picked you out.’ Both of my parents said that and repeated it slowly for me. And they put an emphasis on every word in that sentence.”Abandoned. Chosen. Special. Those concepts became part of who Jobs was and how he regarded himself. His closest friends think that the knowledge that he was given up at birth left some scars. “I think his desire for complete control of whatever he makes derives directly from his personality and the fact that he was abandoned at birth,” said one longtime colleague, Del Yocam. “He wants to control his environment, and he sees the product as an extension of himself.” Greg Calhoun, who became close to Jobs right after college, saw another effect. “Steve talked to me a lot about being abandoned and the pain that caused,” he said. “It made him independent. He followed the beat of a different drummer, and that came from being in a different world than he was born into.”Later in life, when he was the same age his biological father had been when he abandoned him, Jobs would father and abandon a child of his own. (He eventually took responsibility for her.) Chrisann Brennan, the mother of that child, said that being put up for adoption left Jobs “full of broken glass,” and it helps to explain some of his behavior. “He who is abandoned is an abandoner,” she said. Andy Hertzfeld, who worked with Jobs at Apple in the early 1980s, is among the few who remained close to both Brennan and Jobs. “The key question about Steve is why he can’t control himself at times from being so reflexively cruel and harmful to some people,” he said. “That goes back to being abandoned at birth. The real underlying problem was the theme of abandonment in Steve’s life.”Jobs dismissed this. “There’s some notion that because I was abandoned, I worked very hard so I could do well and make my parents wish they had me back, or some such nonsense, but that’s ridiculous,” he insisted. “Knowing I was adopted may have made me feel more independent, but I have never felt abandoned. I’ve always felt special. My parents made me feel special.” He would later bristle whenever anyone referred to Paul and Clara Jobs as his “adoptive” parents or implied that they were not his “real” parents. “They were my parents 1,000%,” he said. When speaking about his biological parents, on the other hand, he was curt: “They were my sperm and egg bank. That’s not harsh, it’s just the way it was, a sperm bank thing, nothing more.”Silicon ValleyThe childhood that Paul and Clara Jobs created for their new son was, in many ways, a stereotype of the late 1950s. When Steve was two they adopted a girl they named Patty, and three years later they moved to a tract house in the suburbs. The finance company where Paul worked as a repo man, CIT, had transferred him down to its Palo Alto office, but he could not afford to live there, so they landed in a subdivision in Mountain View, a less expensive town just to the south.There Paul tried to pass along his love of mechanics and cars. “Steve, this is your workbench now,” he said as he marked off a section of the table in their garage. Jobs remembered being impressed by his father’s focus on craftsmanship. “I thought my dad’s sense of design was pretty good,” he said, “because he knew how to build anything. If we needed a cabinet, he would build it. When he built our fence, he gave me a hammer so I could work with him.”Fifty years later the fence still surrounds the back and side yards of the house in Mountain View. As Jobs showed it off to me, he caressed the stockade panels and recalled a lesson that his father implanted deeply in him. It was important, his father said, to craft the backs of cabinets and fences properly, even though they were hidden. “He loved doing things right. He even cared about the look of the parts you couldn’t see.”His father continued to refurbish and resell used cars, and he festooned the garage with pictures of his favorites. He would point out the detailing of the design to his son: the lines, the vents, the chrome, the trim of the seats. After work each day, he would change into his dungarees and retreat to the garage, often with Steve tagging along. “I figured I could get him nailed down with a little mechanical ability, but he really wasn’t interested in getting his hands dirty,” Paul later recalled. “He never really cared too much about mechanical things.”“I wasn’t that into fixing cars,” Jobs admitted. “But I was eager to hang out with my dad.” Even as he was growing more aware that he had been adopted, he was becoming more attached to his father. One day when he was about eight, he discovered a photograph of his father from his time in the Coast Guard. “He’s in the engine room, and he’s got his shirt off and looks like James Dean. It was one of those Oh wow moments for a kid. Wow, oooh, my parents were actually once very young and really good-looking.”Through cars, his father gave Steve his first exposure to electronics. “My dad did not have a deep understanding of electronics, but he’d encountered it a lot in automobiles and other things he would fix. He showed me the rudiments of electronics, and I got very interested in that.” Even more interesting were the trips to scavenge for parts. “Every weekend, there’d be a junkyard trip. We’d be looking for a generator, a carburetor, all sorts of components.” He remembered watching his father negotiate at the counter. “He was a good bargainer, because he knew better than the guys at the counter what the parts should cost.” This helped fulfill the pledge his parents made when he was adopted. “My college fund came from my dad paying $50 for a Ford Falcon or some other beat-up car that didn’t run, working on it for a few weeks, and selling it for $250—and not telling the IRS.”The Jobses’ house and the others in their neighborhood were built by the real estate developer Joseph Eichler, whose company spawned more than eleven thousand homes in various California subdivisions between 1950 and 1974. Inspired by Frank Lloyd Wright’s vision of simple modern homes for the American “everyman,” Eichler built inexpensive houses that featured floor-to-ceiling glass walls, open floor plans, exposed post-and-beam construction, concrete slab floors, and lots of sliding glass doors. “Eichler did a great thing,” Jobs said on one of our walks around the neighborhood. “His houses were smart and cheap and good. They brought clean design and simple taste to lower-income people. They had awesome little features, like radiant heating in the floors. You put carpet on them, and we had nice toasty floors when we were kids.”Jobs said that his appreciation for Eichler homes instilled in him a passion for making nicely designed products for the mass market. “I love it when you can bring really great design and simple capability to something that doesn’t cost much,” he said as he pointed out the clean elegance of the houses. “It was the original vision for Apple. That’s what we tried to do with the first Mac. That’s what we did with the iPod.”Across the street from the Jobs family lived a man who had become successful as a real estate agent. “He wasn’t that bright,” Jobs recalled, “but he seemed to be making a fortune. So my dad thought, ‘I can do that.’ He worked so hard, I remember. He took these night classes, passed the license test, and got into real estate. Then the bottom fell out of the market.” As a result, the family found itself financially strapped for a year or so while Steve was in elementary school. His mother took a job as a bookkeeper for Varian Associates, a company that made scientific instruments, and they took out a second mortgage. One day his fourth-grade teacher asked him, “What is it you don’t understand about the universe?” Jobs replied, “I don’t understand why all of a sudden my dad is so broke.” He was proud that his father never adopted a servile attitude or slick style that may have made him a better salesman. “You had to suck up to people to sell real estate, and he wasn’t good at that and it wasn’t in his nature. I admired him for that.” Paul Jobs went back to being a mechanic.His father was calm and gentle, traits that his son later praised more than emulated. He was also resolute. Jobs described one example:Nearby was an engineer who was working at Westinghouse. He was a single guy, beatnik type. He had a girlfriend. She would babysit me sometimes. Both my parents worked, so I would come here right after school for a couple of hours. He would get drunk and hit her a couple of times. She came over one night, scared out of her wits, and he came over drunk, and my dad stood him down—saying “She’s here, but you’re not coming in.” He stood right there. We like to think everything was idyllic in the 1950s, but this guy was one of those engineers who had messed-up lives.What made the neighborhood different from the thousands of other spindly-tree subdivisions across America was that even the ne’er-do-wells tended to be engineers. “When we moved here, there were apricot and plum orchards on all of these corners,” Jobs recalled. “But it was beginning to boom because of military investment.” He soaked up the history of the valley and developed a yearning to play his own role. Edwin Land of Polaroid later told him about being asked by Eisenhower to help build the U-2 spy plane cameras to see how real the Soviet threat was. The film was dropped in canisters and returned to the NASA Ames Research Center in Sunnyvale, not far from where Jobs lived. “The first computer terminal I ever saw was when my dad brought me to the Ames Center,” he said. “I fell totally in love with it.”Other defense contractors sprouted nearby during the 1950s. The Lockheed Missiles and Space Division, which built submarine-launched ballistic missiles, was founded in 1956 next to the NASA Center; by the time Jobs moved to the area four years later, it employed twenty thousand people. A few hundred yards away, Westinghouse built facilities that produced tubes and electrical transformers for the missile systems. “You had all these military companies on the cutting edge,” he recalled. “It was mysterious and high-tech and made living here very exciting.”In the wake of the defense industries there arose a booming economy based on technology. Its roots stretched back to 1938, when David Packard and his new wife moved into a house in Palo Alto that had a shed where his friend Bill Hewlett was soon ensconced. The house had a garage—an appendage that would prove both useful and iconic in the valley—in which they tinkered around until they had their first product, an audio oscillator. By the 1950s, Hewlett-Packard was a fast-growing company making technical instruments.Fortunately there was a place nearby for entrepreneurs who had outgrown their garages. In a move that would help transform the area into the cradle of the tech revolution, Stanford University’s dean of engineering, Frederick Terman, created a seven-hundred-acre industrial park on university land for private companies that could commercialize the ideas of his students. Its first tenant was Varian Associates, where Clara Jobs worked. “Terman came up with this great idea that did more than anything to cause the tech industry to grow up here,” Jobs said. By the time Jobs was ten, HP had nine thousand employees and was the blue-chip company where every engineer seeking financial stability wanted to work.The most important technology for the region’s growth was, of course, the semiconductor. William Shockley, who had been one of the inventors of the transistor at Bell Labs in New Jersey, moved out to Mountain View and, in 1956, started a company to build transistors using silicon rather than the more expensive germanium that was then commonly used. But Shockley became increasingly erratic and abandoned his silicon transistor project, which led eight of his engineers—most notably Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore—to break away to form Fairchild Semiconductor. That company grew to twelve thousand employees, but it fragmented in 1968, when Noyce lost a power struggle to become CEO. He took Gordon Moore and founded a company that they called Integrated Electronics Corporation, which they soon smartly abbreviated to Intel. Their third employee was Andrew Grove, who later would grow the company by shifting its focus from memory chips to microprocessors. Within a few years there would be more than fifty companies in the area making semiconductors.The exponential growth of this industry was correlated with the phenomenon famously discovered by Moore, who in 1965 drew a graph of the speed of integrated circuits, based on the number of transistors that could be placed on a chip, and showed that it doubled about every two years, a trajectory that could be expected to continue. This was reaffirmed in 1971, when Intel was able to etch a complete central processing unit onto one chip, the Intel 4004, which was dubbed a “microprocessor.” Moore’s Law has held generally true to this day, and its reliable projection of performance to price allowed two generations of young entrepreneurs, including Steve Jobs and Bill Gates, to create cost projections for their forward-leaning products.The chip industry gave the region a new name when Don Hoefler, a columnist for the weekly trade paper Electronic News, began a series in January 1971 entitled “Silicon Valley USA.” The forty-mile Santa Clara Valley, which stretches from South San Francisco through Palo Alto to San Jose, has as its commercial backbone El Camino Real, the royal road that once connected California’s twenty-one mission churches and is now a bustling avenue that connects companies and startups accounting for a third of the venture capital investment in the United States each year. “Growing up, I got inspired by the history of the place,” Jobs said. “That made me want to be a part of it.”Like most kids, he became infused with the passions of the grown-ups around him. “Most of the dads in the neighborhood did really neat stuff, like photovoltaics and batteries and radar,” Jobs recalled. “I grew up in awe of that stuff and asking people about it.” The most important of these neighbors, Larry Lang, lived seven doors away. “He was my model of what an HP engineer was supposed to be: a big ham radio operator, hard-core electronics guy,” Jobs recalled. “He would bring me stuff to play with.” As we walked up to Lang’s old house, Jobs pointed to the driveway. “He took a carbon microphone and a battery and a speaker, and he put it on this driveway. He had me talk into the carbon mike and it amplified out of the speaker.” Jobs had been taught by his father that microphones always required an electronic amplifier. “So I raced home, and I told my dad that he was wrong.”“No, it needs an amplifier,” his father assured him. When Steve protested otherwise, his father said he was crazy. “It can’t work without an amplifier. There’s some trick.”“I kept saying no to my dad, telling him he had to see it, and finally he actually walked down with me and saw it. And he said, ‘Well I’ll be a bat out of hell.’”Jobs recalled the incident vividly because it was his first realization that his father did not know everything. Then a more disconcerting discovery began to dawn on him: He was smarter than his parents. He had always admired his father’s competence and savvy. “He was not an educated man, but I had always thought he was pretty damn smart. He didn’t read much, but he could do a lot. Almost everything mechanical, he could figure it out.” Yet the carbon microphone incident, Jobs said, began a jarring process of realizing that he was in fact more clever and quick than his parents. “It was a very big moment that’s burned into my mind. When I realized that I was smarter than my parents, I felt tremendous shame for having thought that. I will never forget that moment.” This discovery, he later told friends, along with the fact that he was adopted, made him feel apart—detached and separate—from both his family and the world.Another layer of awareness occurred soon after. Not only did he discover that he was brighter than his parents, but he discovered that they knew this. Paul and Clara Jobs were loving parents, and they were willing to adapt their lives to suit a son who was very smart—and also willful. They would go to great lengths to accommodate him. And soon Steve discovered this fact as well. “Both my parents got me. They felt a lot of responsibility once they sensed that I was special. They found ways to keep feeding me stuff and putting me in better schools. They were willing to defer to my needs.”So he grew up not only with a sense of having once been abandoned, but also with a sense that he was special. In his own mind, that was more important in the formation of his personality.SchoolEven before Jobs started elementary school, his mother had taught him how to read. This, however, led to some problems once he got to school. “I was kind of bored for the first few years,

最近没啥大事,今天给大家推荐一篇好文章,读完此文你再看世界的视角就大不相同了,一切都将明朗,了然于胸!


当今世界,文明与野蛮并存!文明的是虽然局部战争却不断,但大规模战争不再那么轻易爆发。野蛮的是弱肉强食的丛林法则开始趋向于“暗战”,大国开始合众连横,小国开始靠边站队,无论是大国还是小国,棋局一步走错,立刻分崩离析。


中国和美国,一东一西、一上一下,不仅处于地球的对立端,而且分布处于不同的经济周期、不同的盛衰周期,两者此消彼长,碰撞也不可避免,而这也将决定未来20年的世界格局。


国家、战争、货币、科技分别意味着什么?


今天我们不妨深刻的梳理一下这变幻莫测、错综复杂的世界,剖析其中的斗争逻辑!让每一个人都彻头彻尾的了解世界这盘棋局。

 

首先,我们来看一下国家的本质。当今社会,国家主要分为社会主义国家和资本主义国家。两者的根本区别在于政权代表谁的利益问题,如果代表资本的利益,其政权就是资本主义政权;如果代表广大人民的利益,这就是社会主义政权,而这就是美国和中国的区别。


在美国,如果做生意赚钱了就是富豪,富豪再上升就变成财阀,从而成为资本大鳄,享受尊贵社会地位,如果玩腻了经济游戏,就可以去竞选总统,做了总统之后继续为资本服务。


而在中国,政治系统和商业体系是隔绝的两套系统,从商基本无法从政,从政基本不可能从商。无论你多么有钱,你也不可能去竞选国家领导人!因此在美国,最富有的前100人可以决定着美国法律的制定,而中国的政治从来不会被商业所牵制。


所以,我们再来看看美国的本质。美国起身不是一个国家。美国不是属于美国人民的,也不是属于美国政客的,而是属于美国金融财团的,说白了就是属于大资本家的。美国的资本家坐在幕后,操控着世界的金融秩序。


他不是政治性的,只是经济性的,资本家只有一个目的,那就是敛财。你不要指望美国是一个可以团结世界人民的政府,他只是一个方便资本家们随意掠夺其它国家任财富进自己口袋的集团。


那么,资本通过什么操控世界呢?当然是:货币!银行家梅耶·罗切斯尔得曾说:“只要我能控制一个国家的货币发行,我不在乎谁制定法律。”只要让美元成为世界通用货币,这些资本家就可以操控世界。用自己掌握的“货币”让发展中国家干活,把世界各个国家变成它的金融殖民地,享受世界人民的供养。没钱华了就开机印钱,就是那么简单。


这里有一个前提就是,美元必须成为全球通用货币。美元霸权是先让美元跟“黄金”挂钩,然后再跟“石油”挂钩这两个步骤来实现的。


当美元成为全球通用货币之后,美国就通过印刷的方式从全世界获得实物财富。但是美国不能无节制地发行美元,让美元不断贬值。所以要节制。可节制后手中没有美元了。那就发行国债,通过发行国债又让输出去的美元重新回到美国。


美国人开始玩起一手印钱,一手借债的游戏,印钞能赚钱,借债也能赚钱,以钱生钱,金融经济比实体经济赚钱来得痛快多了。回到美国的美元,进入美国的三大市——期货市场、国债市场和证券市场。然后再以资本的形式向海外输出,从而操控世界其它国家的各种产业,这样循环往复地生利,美国由此变成一个“金融帝国”。



“金融殖民”是一种更加透彻的殖民掠夺方式,悄然无声,杀人不见血。那么“金融战争”的逻辑是怎么样的呢?


金融战争的逻辑是:美国掌控全球通用货币,先走量化宽松(QE)之路,用大量货币涌入其它国家,推高这个国家的经济,使该国物价飞升,然后忽然釜底抽薪,在泡沫最大的时候突然缩回,使该国骤然缺钱,物价迅速下降,很多资产变的廉价,这时美联储开始加息,促使国际资本回流,美国再来抄底收购,通过一张一缩变相侵占了该国资产,这就是金融战争的逻辑。


每次美联储一宣布加息,货币的翅膀轻微抖动,也许就发生一场大风暴,有可能是一个国家的货币崩溃,有可能是一个国家的股市崩溃,有可能是一个国家的房地产崩溃,也有可能是某个地区发生了一场战争。


我们先看看阿根廷这个国家是如何遭遇毁灭性打击的。


1、阿根廷马岛海战


2015年12月17日,美联储刚宣布一加息0.25,蝴蝶的翅膀轻轻抖动,就已经掀起了一场大风暴,第二天晚上九点半,阿根廷比索崩溃性大跌41%。不到24小时,一个国家的货币就已经崩溃了。


而实际上,早在1982年的爆发于阿根廷的“马岛海战”就是一次赤裸裸的“金融战争”,我们来看一下当时的过程:


从1973之后美元指数就一直在走低,也就是说美联储在走量化宽松路线,美元印的很多,共持续接近10年时间。这使美元的供应量增大,这些美元去了哪里呢?拉丁美洲!美元给拉丁美洲带动了投资,从而早就可70年代拉美的经济繁荣。


直到1979年,美元指数开始走强,这说明美联储决定关掉泄“美元”的洪闸。于是正在欣欣向荣的拉丁美洲,突然间资金链条断裂了,美元大量回流到了美国。这使1981年阿根廷通货膨胀率高达600%以上,国内生产总值(GDP)下降到11.4%,制造业产量下降为22.9%,薪资成长只达到19.2%;国内得到越来越多支持者的工联决定发动长期性大罢工,军政府受到人民的唾弃与憎恶。


预算阿根廷政府试图通过对马岛采取军事行动,来缓解国内危机。1982年3月19日,阿根廷人登陆南乔治亚岛并升起国旗。4月2日,加尔铁里总统下令出兵占领马岛,马岛战争正式爆发。



这时的美国当然希望战争开始,因为只有这样才能给阿根廷制造更加混乱才场景,才能让全球的投资人判断拉美地区投资环境要恶化,让他们从拉美撤资,所以美国立刻宣布支持英国!


此时的美联储看到时机已到,立刻宣布美元加息,加息后的美元加快了资本撤出拉美的步伐。从拉美撤出的资本几乎全到了美国,去追捧美国的三大市(债市、期市、股市),给美国带来了美元与黄金脱钩后的第一个大牛市,当时美元指数从弱势时的60多点一口气蹿升到120多点,上升了100%。美国资本家又趁机重新回到拉美去购买那些此时价格已跌成地板价的优质资产,狠狠剪了一次拉美经济的羊毛!


美联储宣布加息,致使美元回流。然后一直到了1986年,美元指数第二次又开始走弱之后,长达10年的时间内,美元又像洪水一样向世界倾泄。也就是说美国又准备去剪世界的羊毛了,那么这次是哪里呢?是亚洲!


2、东南亚金融危机


先来回顾一下“亚洲四小龙”的概念,它是指从20世纪80年代开始,亚洲的中国香港、新加坡、韩国和中国台湾推行出口导向型战略,重点发展劳动密集型的加工产业,在短时间内实现了经济的腾飞,一跃成为全亚洲发达富裕的地区。


请注意,这些地区采用的是“出口导向型战略”。而出口导向型的本质其实就是可以轻松通过产品来获得充足的美元。这些外向型经济的国家对世界市场的依附很大。


而究其本质,其实是美国通过强大的经济后盾在亚太地区建立起一个资本主义的统一战线:韩国,日本,台湾直至东南亚,都成为美国的经济附庸。这是东南亚地区和国家的经济迅猛发展的根本原因。


当亚洲经济一片繁华、欣欣向荣的时候。1997年也就是美元被打开闸门流行亚洲10年之后,美国人开减少对亚洲的货币供应,于是这些亚洲国家的企业和行业遭遇流通性不足,有的甚至干脆资金链条断裂,亚洲出现了经济危机和金融危机的征兆。


这时一个叫索罗斯的金融投机家,带着他的量子基金和全世界上百家的对冲基金,开始群狼般攻击亚洲经济最弱的国家——泰国,攻击泰国的货币——泰铢。


对于一个“金融家”来说,他这样描述自己的行为:“在金融运作方面,说不上有道德还是无道德,这只是一种操作。道德根本不存在于这里,因为它有自己的游戏规则。”



水木然认为,所谓的“金融危机”根源在于其制度,资本天生就具有增值性和扩张性,资本对于金钱的追逐是一种天性的行为,其实着就是资本主义永远都摆脱不了的危机。


由于泰铢在国际市场上是否要买卖不由政府来主宰,而泰国本身并没有足够的外汇储备量,面对金融家的炒作,该国经济不堪一击,泰铢危机爆发。并且立刻产生传导效应,一路向南,传导到马来西亚、新加坡、印尼、菲律宾,然后北上传导台湾、香港,日本,韩国,一直传导到俄罗斯,东亚金融危机全面爆发。


此时全球投资人判断亚洲的投资环境恶化,便纷纷从亚洲撤出自己的资本。而美联储则又一次不失时机地吹响了加息的号角。从亚洲撤出的资本又一次到美国去追捧美国的三大市,给美国带来了第二个大牛市。


当美国人挣够了钱以后,仍像在拉丁美洲那样,拿着他们从亚洲金融危机赚到的大把的钱又回到了亚洲,去购买亚洲跌到地板价上的优质资产。此时亚洲经济已经被这次金融危机冲得稀里哗啦,毫无招架之功,更无还手之力。


为什么人民币不贬值就不会冲击到中国呢?相信大家经常看到人民币贬值和升值的新闻,人民币一旦贬值就会变的不值钱,很多人就会兑换成美元。人民币不贬值的本质其实就是让大家手里的人民币不要用过各种方式变成美元的资产,这样就可以防止人民币变成美元外流!这是对美联储加息的一种抵御。


当美国的资本家挣够了钱以后,仍像在拉丁美洲那样,拿着他们从亚洲金融危机赚到的大把的钱又回到了亚洲,去购买亚洲跌到地板价上的优质资产。

角逐还在继续……


1999年1月1日,欧元正式诞生。欧盟是一个27万亿美元的经济体,它盖过了当时世界上最大的经济体北美自贸区(24万亿美元—25万亿美元规模)。这么一个庞大的经济体从此不再用美元结算,这对于美元霸权两讲毫无疑问是一个打击,是一个挑战。所以说美国人即使不是意欲除之而后快,也一定要打击。三个月之后科索沃战争爆发了!


3、科索沃战争


科索沃战争爆发之前,大约有7千多亿热钱在欧洲流动,在7千多亿热钱在欧洲晃来晃去,找不到落地的地方,不敢落地。


为什么不敢落地呢?因为不敢投资,如果你投资,一旦战争打响,投资环境恶化,你的投资可能就收不回来,追逐利润、追求利润最大化是所有投资者的信仰,但是既要追求利润最大化,同时还要追求安全的获利,如果不能是安全的获利宁可不投资,这也是投资者的信仰。


1999年3月24日,以美国为首的北约凭借强大的军事实力,在未经联合国授权的情况下,对一个主权国家肆无忌惮地进行了长达70多天的狂轰滥炸,而目丧心病狂地轰炸了我国驻南联盟使馆。


既然欧洲有战争了,那么这7千多亿有4千多亿立刻从欧洲抽走,其中2千多亿到了美国。更为关键问题是:打仗之前欧元和美元的汇率是1:1.08,3月5号这场战争打响,战争还没有打完欧元的发行价爆破,欧元跌幅达到30%。


4、轰炸南中国南联盟大使馆


2千多亿资金到了美国,支持了美国的经济繁荣。但是还有2千多亿到了到了香港。


香港怎么能消化这么多钱呢?显然是想进入中国大陆。那不就支持中国经济发展了吗?于是这个时候发生了一件事情:1999年5月美国“误炸”中国南联盟的使馆。


这下又把中国推向了风口浪尖上,似乎又处于战争的边缘,让投资者认为中国将不够稳定。然后出现了什么情况呢?仅仅一个星期之后2千多亿热钱从香港抽走,最后又去了美国,4千多亿热钱全部流到了美国。


然而仅仅两年之后的一天,2001年”911“事件就发生了:两架被恐怖分子劫持的民航客机分别撞向美国纽约世界贸易中心一号楼和世界贸易中心二号楼,两座建筑在遭到攻击后相继倒塌,世界贸易中心其余5座建筑物也受震而坍塌损毁;然后另一架被劫持的客机撞向位于美国华盛顿的美国国防部五角大楼,五角大楼局部结构损坏并坍塌。


“911”事件是发生在美国本土的最为严重的恐怖攻击行动,遇难者总数高达2996人。联合国发表报告称此次恐怖袭击对美经济损失达2000亿美元,相当于当年生产总值的2%。美国的投资环境又恶化了!


5、阿富汗战争


9.11发生之后两个月不到,阿富汗战争就打响了,这其实是不符合美国的战争规律的。这就不得不提到金融了。因为911发生之后不久,大量的资金撤离美国,因为全球的投资人突然对全世界最安全的投资环境产生了疑问,美国是全球金融的中心,纽约是美国金融的中心,而华尔街是纽约的中心,世贸大厦是中心的中心,它居然让恐怖分子给炸掉了,谁还敢对你的投资环境保持信心呢?


这个时候大量的资金撤离美国,据说有三四千亿美元撤离了美国,没有钱怎么行,所以美国迫切需要一场战争,需要用这场战争打回全世界投资人对美国的信心。果然如此,当阿富汗战争打响之后,当巡航导弹落在阿富汗的时候,道琼斯指数立刻回升,大量撤离的资金立刻回到美国,华尔街一片叫好,这场战争重新打回了全球对美国的信心。


你不是认为我的投资环境不安全吗?但是我打一场战争给你看,美国仍然是最强大的,美国人想打谁就打谁,你要觉得不安全,还有别的地方的投资环境比我还不安全,它那个地方还在发生战争,所以这就是美国的军事手段如何为它的经济服务。




6、美国次贷危机


然后又到了2002年,美国又开始故伎重演了,此时美元指数再一次开始走弱,然后时刻为美元指数转强做准备……


但很不巧的是,美国自己在2008年玩火玩大了,遭遇了次贷危机。


首先,什么是次贷危机呢?


水木然可以给大家做一个科普:次贷危机的本质就是各种金融机构都开始授信人们去花钱:银行向收入不高的借款人以房屋为抵押提供贷款;银行为了降低风险于是将贷款合约打包成金融产品质押在保险公司;保险公司再将其打包出售给风险投资公司;风险投资公司又将其打包成金融衍生品出售给中产阶级。在房市高涨时,即使贷款人还不起贷款,银行只需将房屋拍卖,还可大赚一笔,但房市一旦下跌,那么贷款将受损失,最终将使银行、保险、风险投资公司及中产阶级遭受重大损失,这种毫无节操、无法无天的的印钱手段早晚会有崩盘的一天,于是危机爆发,并于2008年进一步深化为金融危机。


而且这场危机也意味着资本主义的寿终正寝,因此自此之后西方社会就一蹶不振!


既然玩金融轻松那么赚钱,谁还愿意辛苦的去干附加值低的制造业?所以美国人早就放弃了实体经济而转向虚拟经济,已经变成一个空心化的国家。这是美国20世纪30年代“大萧条”以来最为严重的一次金融危机。

 

7、2010年欧债危机


为了转嫁危机,美国先瞄准了欧洲。因为美国依然对排名第二位的欧元怀恨在心,所以就准备先去洗劫欧洲。


当年其利用希腊急于加入欧盟的心理,让高盛公司为希腊掩盖了一笔高达10亿欧元的公共债务,从而使希腊在不符合要求的情况下,得以加入欧盟。2009年12月,希腊的主权债务问题凸显,2010年3月进一步发酵,开始向“欧洲四国”(葡萄牙、意大利、爱尔兰、西班牙)蔓延,至此欧债危机全面爆发。


这背后的原因是这样的:当金融出现危机,各国政府就会纷纷推出刺激经济增长的宽松政策,而高福利、低盈余的希腊无法通过公共财政盈余来支撑过度的举债消费。此时资本家为了降低风险,需要去杠杆化、而政府却需要增加杠杆。希腊政府的财政原本处于一种弱平衡的境地,由于金融危机的冲击,恶化了其国家集群产业的盈利能力,公共财政现金流呈现出趋于枯竭的恶性循环,债务负担成为不能承受之重。


欧债危机的本质其实是美国次贷危机的延续和深化,政府的债务负担超过了自身的承受范围,引起的违约风险,美国三大评级机构则落井下石,连连下调希腊等债务国的信用评级。


2011年7 月末,标普已经将希腊主权评级09 年底的A-下调到了CC级(垃圾级),意大利的评级展望也在11年5月底被调整为负面,继而在9月份和10 月初标普和穆迪又一次下调了意大利的主权债务评级。葡萄牙和西班牙也遭遇了主权评级被频繁下调的风险。主权评级被下调使上述四国借入资金的利息变得相当高,金融危机的本质也可以理解为整个社会信用的崩溃!


于是,此时在欧洲的欧元资本被抛弃换成了美元。但是由于因为美国也处于危机中,出于各种担心这些资本没有回到美国,而是在中途换成人民币进入全球实体经济唯一没有出现动荡的经济大国——中国。



8、中国GDP飙升至全球第二


此时的中国,已经成了从全球吸引和获得投资最多的国家,当时一个中国的经济规模比整个拉美还要大,相当于整个东亚。而过去的10年里,大量国际资本由于看好中国经济进入中国,这使中国的经济总量以令人垂涎的速度增长。


这些钱都印成相应的人民币发行到国内,也就是说,有多少美元进来,就印多少人民币。此时我们又推行了4万亿刺激计划,中国地方政府正在和银行一起投资拉动GDP增长,这些资金最终进入到了以房地产行业为主,及铁路、公路、机场等政府项目上,因此2008年中国楼市刚出现短暂下调,资金一进来立刻有开始了新一轮的推高,直到2013年为止。而同时中国也一跃成为全球第二大经济体,房价也高不可攀。


先通胀再收缩。美国此时虽然自身不保,但是依然需要故伎重演,2014年9月底,美联储宣布美国退出QE,美元指数开始掉头走强,而10月初香港“占中”就爆发。美国又制造中国投资环境恶化的现象。


于是中国的美元便开始减少,导致人民币也逐步缩减,国内流动性资金进一步缩紧,这导致企业贷款困难,无力再发展,尤其是中小房地产公司和煤炭钢铁等产能过剩企业从信托公司借的巨额债务无力偿还,开始连续出现了信托违约。


而房地产仍然需要巨量的资金来维持,于是只能靠高利息借贷来维持。而银行为了弄到钱,也开始互相借钱,银行间隔夜利率飙升,借钱利率超高,并且埋头经营理财产品,结果最后这些债务都转嫁给了购买理财产品的老百姓。于是爆发了后来的“钱荒事件”,存款无法取出,此时是2014年。


这种情况一旦严重,就会发生恐慌挤兑,后果不堪设想。但是中国部分银行破产是必然的事,因此国家出一个策略:银行保险制度。这个制度不再为破产的银行兜底。万一银行破产,可以有借口让保险公司赔付,并且50万金额以上的储户只赔付一小部分金额,那么过往的巨额债务就能让这些储户承担,而低于50万以下的大部分小储户是全额赔偿,所以不受影响,这就保证了社会上普通百姓的财产安全。


这时互联网金融的春天到来了,余额宝、理财通等新兴理财产品如雨后春笋,收益率曾一度达到7%。但是因为伤害了传统银行的利益,被联合起来封杀,后来又降到了4%……


美国此时开始抄底收购中国资产了!



包括钢铁国企,中石化,国家电网等国有企业,以及阿里巴巴,百度,腾讯等互联网巨头都在借入美债,仅某著名互联网企业一家就借入了80亿美元,也就是说一部分美元在外逃,而一部分美元作为债务进入,这与股市里庄家的拉高出货何其相似。可曾知道,这些借入的美债将来还不起是要靠变卖你的股权来还的。一场较量下来,我们有多少互联网企业都被外国人控股了。


所幸的是中国有了一个强权有力,并且真心为国的新政府。央行开始定向降准,中央也开始严控三公消费,查处腐败来维持财政平衡,地方政府通过加紧收税来维持开支。但是故事还没有结束,美国又开始瞄准中国的股市。


9、中国A股暴跌


时间定格在2015年6月26日,这是终将载入A股历史的一天,是最惨痛的一天,逾两千只股票疯狂跌停!沪指暴跌7.4%!深成指暴跌8.24%!创业板指暴跌8.91%!本次股灾以来,两市流通市值减少了22万亿元,每位投资个体平均损失近24万元。而2015年10月份以来的10个交易日,净卖出65亿元以上。


更曲折的情节是,眼看这一轮美国剪羊毛又要成功了,但是大量的资金好像并没有进入美国推动美国的繁荣,而美国一再推迟宣布升息。事实上,美国的量化宽松,是一把双刃剑,假如美国是实体经济为主,量化宽容的大量资金能进入实体行业,支持国内消费,提高出口,那么流动性过剩是对国家经济发展的利好。但是,就像我们前面所言,美国造就抛弃了制造业,只经营金融和信息产业。


尽管这几年美国总统特朗普一再呼吁制造业回归,但是美国一直但是一个靠金融赚快钱的国家回归制造业就像让妓女回工厂当女工一样痛苦。于是大量的钱进入还是美国的股市,道指5年从6000点飙升到了18000点。相当于5年70万亿美元资金进入了美国股市。


美国量化宽松只有不到10万亿美元,很多还是贷款贷国外,到中国的都有1.6-1.8万亿。为什么能有70万亿资金入美国股市?这里我们完全可以想象,依然和次贷危机一样,美国股市是金融资本家用20-30倍杠杆构成的一个大型赌博场。


除此之外,由于美元过度发行,作为美元体系信用基础的美国国债受到了质疑,故美元体系已无法支持美国长期以来的过度透支,这也是美元地位衰落的重要原因!


10、美股暴跌


美联储每次加息和降息,对新兴国家来说,其实就是一次长羊毛和剪羊毛的轮回。


但是,接下来还是会按照之前的剧情发展吗?


80年代末美国加息,则让西欧失去了5年,日本失去了15年。


90年代末美国加息,则让韩国和东南亚国家爆发了亚洲金融危机,辛辛苦苦几十年,一夜回到解放前,白干了。


但是,如果我没有记错,美联储在2015年12月16日宣布将利率上调25个基点,加息之后,除了向阿根廷这样的国家开始被剪羊毛之外。美国也开始暴跌了!


美国道琼斯指数暴跌2.1%,大跌367点,纳斯达克大跌1.59%,标普大跌1.78%,这叫杀敌一千,自损八百!


也就是说:美国如果想维持传统的“金融战争”的话,已经需要伤及自身了,水木然认为这就好比武林绝学葵花宝典:欲练此功,必先自宫。


应当说美国股市是当前全球的一个大泡沫,这次大泡沫随着美国加息到来逐渐会破灭,下跌30%很正常。美国股市实际上已经不是地上悬河,而是珠穆朗玛峰上的悬河!


百万亿美元市值的美国股市,与之联系二级市场不低于60万亿。美国整个金融市场不低于200万亿美元的市值,超过美国GDP十几倍。如此恐怖的泡沫正是美国头顶上达摩克利斯之剑,一个巨大的旁氏骗局泡沫已经形成。一旦刺破这个泡沫,对美国的后果,可能比上世纪20年代的经济危机还恐怖。


也就是说通过这种一张一缩的手段,去变相掠夺其他国家财富的“金融战争”手段,开始越来越失效了,这就像伟哥,药效是一次比一次差的,而且早晚有精尽人亡的那一天。


但是美国是不可能停止他的伎俩的,不要忘记,捍卫“美元”的最强悍武器是“美军”!所以接下来只能更加频繁的在世界各个区域制造冲突,来弥补美联储加息效应的不足。



11、萨德系统和南海危机


南海危机和萨德危机,表面是双方军事上的耀武扬威,其实只不过是美国导演的一场货币战争而已。


这背后的缘由是什么呢?2016年的7月8号中国外汇管理局发布的一个数据,上月中国外汇储备意外上涨130亿美元达到3.21万亿美元,创逾一年来最大涨幅。其实美国的心思都在这上面呢.


美国很快在韩国部署了萨德系统,并在7月12日公布南海仲裁结果,其实就是想逼迫中国境内资本出逃。


但是,我们可以发现这并没有对中国造成什么影响,在股市方面,当天上证指数3000点失而复得,两市大幅放量,上涨幅度达到1.82%。更重要的是,国际关系紧张情绪下的资本市场,原本在早盘进入了避险模式,却在午盘离奇爆拉,走出了A股存量博弈市场久违的大V。


但是美国要彻底维护美元地位,就要牢牢控制石油,中东必须在自己爪牙之下,拿下中东就必须先排除掉俄罗斯的阻挠。所以美国需要对俄罗斯下手,于是叙利亚被引爆了。


12、叙利亚战争


为了彻底巩固美元地位,必须加强对中东的控制权。伊朗必须及早的被消灭分化掉,而伊朗前面还有一个弱小的叙利亚,这时忽然蹦出来一个奇怪的组织ISIS出现,把中东搅的天翻地覆。


4月14日凌晨,叙利亚首都大马士革传来巨大爆炸声,美英法三国以迅雷不及掩耳之势忽然对叙利亚“发动了侵略”!


再来梳理一下最近的事件:


前几天,港币对美元的不断贬值,香港金管局已经介入,最新出手动作是以32亿港币托市,稳定港元。


然后,中方宣布了金融开放时间表,以及海南自贸区新政,包括旅游/金融和博采产业的开放等,用以吸引国际资金。


是不是感觉:一场新的资金争夺战正在来袭?


13:金融战争逻辑失效!


美国这种传统的“金融战争”已经成为过去,没有任何一种惯用伎俩可以屡试不爽,尤其是面对世界变革的浪潮!世界上的事物总有客观规律,一座座看似牢固的城墙,总会被一个接一个被“攻陷”,慌乱和不知所措油然而生。


美国用升息和在世界热点地区制造动荡,让全世界的资金回归美国。接美国股市、债券市场的最后一棒,完成剪羊毛。但是世界经济不可能任由美国摆弄,一条蛇想吃下一只刺猬,哪有没那么容易?


尤其是中国。有中国这个10万亿美元经济体存在的时候,美元必然遇到挑战。08年次贷危机的时候,中国GDP只有3万亿美元,机会只能错过。而今天到中国超过10万亿美元,这一次机会中国没有放过。


目前,欧盟孱弱,新兴国家乏力,围绕美元加息的这场全球多空大战,谁胜谁负,最终将取决于中国。美元资本操纵全球资产价格的成败,取决于能否攻破中国这道巨大的筹码关口。


然而,当美联储还在加息妄图剪全世界羊毛的时候,中国却在高科技等方面悄悄布了一个大局。



这几乎是一个新世纪的隐喻:美国越来越空心化,越来越依靠战争机器和货币霸权来掠夺其他国家财富,逐渐走向全世界人民的对立面。而中国则积极投身于大数据/云计算/人工智能方面,而且乐意与世界各国共享经验和繁荣。


14:贸易战和制裁


美国眼看这这种传统的“金融掠夺”的逻辑要失效,他们只有开始直接威逼我们的实体企业,尤其是高科技企业。于是开始在贸易和科技产业对中国进行围堵,所以贸易战就是这样打响的。


因为中国通过努力最终成了发达国家的粉碎机,不断创新的技术碾碎了西方国家的壁垒,中国通过学习和创新不断的创造出可以替代那些高科技的产品,让全世界人们一起享受科技成果,这就是中国对世界的一大贡献,这也恰恰是美国最恨中国的根本原因。


既然中国的产品又好又便宜,那么全世界都来买中国的东西,当然也包括美国人,那这时美国只有给中国的产品加税,才能保护本国产品,所有美国要发动贸易战。


贸易战眼看着不行,又开始直接对中国的高科技企业制裁,制裁对象当然是中国掌握了最核心技术的企业,比如中兴/华为/阿里。


所以,就在昨天(4月16号)美国商务部宣布,未来7年将禁止美国公司向中兴通讯销售零部件、商品、软件和技术。


根据美国近期对中国出口进行制裁的10大行业,其罗列的1300项繁多的名目主要针对中国的高科技产业。


美国的目的很简单,就是牢牢掌握各行业的源头技术,并紧紧地把持住最核心的技术环节,然后企图使中国永远受制于人,让全世界沦为他们的工厂,他们从中赚取巨额利润。


据称,美国官员直言不讳的指出,美国的真正考量是要遏制中国制造业升级,拖慢《中国制造2025》这一强国战略。


然而如今,中国在大数据、云计算、移动互联网等领域发步伐加快,人工智能迅猛发展,军用无人机等领域已经成功超越世界。航空航天、量子通信、超算、核能、高铁、港口龙门吊,中国正在创造一个又一个弯道超车的神奇故事。


被誉为中国的“新四大发明”:移动支付、高铁、共享单车、网购。对世界的影响是巨大的:网购,改变了传统商业的秩序;高铁,重塑了距离和空间的格局;移动支付,摧毁了传统金融秩序;共享经济,消灭了人类的私有制,带来人类进入“共产”时代。


15:人类命运共同体


什么是“人类命运共同体”呢?


我们先来看一个有意思的现象:为什么中国人发明了麻将,而西方人发明了扑克?


因为中麻将和扑克分别代表了中国西方两种不同的思维。


打扑克时我们说:赢了。这就是西方思维。


打麻将时我们说:和了。这就是东方智慧。


“赢”体现的就是你死我活,而“和”意思是你好我好大家好。麻将追求圆满,谁获得了圆满,谁就是成功者,扑克讲究扑杀,谁能干掉对方,谁就胜利者。


如果世界一直都是“赢”的思维主导,天下永远不可能太平,因为今天你打了我,我早晚会来报仇。我报不了仇,我的子孙后代也会来保持,恩恩怨怨何时了?


这个世界需要一种“和”的思维来维持!那就是:人类命运共同体!



“命运共同体”的完整定义是:指在追求本国利益时兼顾他国合理关切,在谋求本国发展中促进各国共同发展。


二战后44年的冷战已经实际证明,想要依靠经济绑架一个国家的政治是行不通的,想要通过军事打击让一个国家屈服也是不可能的。


也因此中国作为一个新兴经济大国、军事强国,必然会开拓全新的可持续发展模式,比如一带一路,我们正在带动新一轮全球化,在这轮全球化里,我们组建了全新的产业循环,采用的是平等互助和大协作的思维,共同开发和发展。


现在全球经济处于很微妙的阶段,只要中国经济经过调整后上扬,就可以吸引国际游资,美国总有在最高点破位的时候,到时全世界只有中国经济能容纳那么大的游资,中国经济下一个发力的过程,就是美国经济衰落的过程,此起彼伏,世界东升西落,大势所趋,人心所向!



未来世界发展的方向是多元化和协作化,而不再是霸权主义。中国的天人合一、和而不同的思想才是这个世界最好未来规划,比如“和平共处五项原则”,“人类命运共同体”就是“和而不同”思想的最好说明。


中国和美国,一个是八九点钟的太阳,一个是已近黄昏的夕阳!时间和命运,一定会站在中国这一边!


我相信,我们这一代人也必将迎来中国最光辉的时代!



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