China will purchase 7,000 new planes in next 20 years 中国航空业前景看好
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Chinese airlines are predicted to purchase 7,240 airplanes valued at US$1.1 trillion over the next 20 years, according to Boeing's annual China Current Market Outlook released in Beijing on Wednesday.
Total airplane demand rose 6.3 percent over last year's forecast, the plane manufacturer revealed at a media briefing.
China new airplane demand of 2017-2036
2017-2036年中国市场新飞机需求
"China's continuous economic growth, significant investment in infrastructure, growing middle class and evolving airline business models support this long-term outlook," said Randy Tinseth, vice-president of marketing at Boeing Commercial Airplanes.
A worker walks past Boeing 737 MAX-9 under constructon
"China's fleet size is expected to grow at a pace well in excess of the global average, and almost 20 percent of global new airplane demand will be from airlines based in China."
The demand of global new airplanes are predicted to be 41030 in the next 20 years
全球未来20年将需要价值6.1万亿美元的41030架新飞机
Boeing said the single-aisle airplanes are likely to continue to be the foundation of domestic and regional fleets in China, forecasting the need for 5,420 new single-aisle airplanes through 2036, accounting for 75 percent of total new deliveries.
The prediction arose from last year's prediction of demand for 5,110 new single-aisle airplanes through 2035.
Full-service airlines and low-cost carriers have been adding new single-aisle airplanes and expanding new point-to-point services to cater for both leisure and business travel demand in China and throughout Asia, it said.
Boeing also forecast that the nation's wide body fleet will require 1,670 new airplanes over the next 20 years and airlines will continue to shift to small and medium-wide body airplanes for long-haul expansion and flexibility.
China' C919 passenger jet
The continuing growth of China's middle class, together with relaxed visa policies offered by some foreign countries, and a wide range of wide body airplanes with new technologies, capabilities and efficiencies, makes Boeing optimistic about the future of China's long-haul market, Tinseth said.
"China's outbound travel market continues its rapid growth toward 200 million passengers annually," he said.
中国航空业前景看好 未来20年将购买7240架飞机价值1.1万亿美元
波音公司预计，从现在至2036年间，中国的航空公司将购买7,240架商用飞机，价值1.1万亿美元。
周三新鲜出炉的20年前景比飞机制造商之前估计的大幅增加了6.3%。这反映了对中国前景的坚定信念。
波音商业飞机营销副总裁Randy Tinseth在报告中说：“中国持续的经济增长，对基础设施的重大投资，不断增长的中产阶级和不断发展的航空业务模式支持了这一长期前景。”
“中国的飞机队伍规模预计将以远高于世界平均水平的速度增长，全球新飞机需求的近20%将来自中国的航空公司，”Tinseth补充说。
到2036年需要5,420架新型单通道飞机，占总交货量的四分之三。 对于宽体飞机，波音预测中国在同一时期将需要1,670架新飞机。
它表示客运航空公司可能会专注于中小型的宽体飞机，而大型飞机将被货运经营者抢走。
波音公司估计，中国的出境旅游市场不久每年将达到2亿人次。
而在全球范围内，波音公司预计未来20年将需要41,030架新商用飞机，价值6.1万亿美元。
中国的挑战
根据国际航空运输协会(IATA)的统计，中国将在2024年超过美国成为世界上最大的客运航空市场。
中国也希望不断增加份额，5月份，国有中国商业飞机公司搭建的158座喷气式客机从上海初次起飞。
C919是与波音737或空中客车A320类似的窄体双飞机。 中国客机自2008年以来一直在发展。虽然这架飞机可能首先与空中客车公司和波音公司都有竞争，但“在中国市场应该做得很好”。