学术前沿 | 国际期刊中与“农业生产”相关的文章（下）
启研学社由知名学者担任学术顾问，由高校师生与企研数据科学团队联合组建的，是以大数据资源及相关技术助力中国学术、智库与行业研究为宗旨的研究组织。团队当前的主要目标是挖掘行政、经济与社会大数据资源在经济学学术、智库与相关行业研究领域中的应用价值，以学术研究为标准开展大数据治理研究，努力探索大数据分析技术融入中国经济社会研究的可行进路。
三农大数据·交流社群旨在为三农相关领域学者提供一个交流学习的平台，群内定期分享三农领域前沿资讯。
本文由三农大数据整理，如需转载，请注明来源。人工整理，如有疏漏，欢迎指正！因篇幅所限，本文拆分为上下两篇，上篇见今日推文头条。
14Conflict in informal rural construction land transfer practices in China:A case of Hubei
中国非正规农村建设用地流转实践中的冲突：以湖北为例[14]
作者：Wan jiali,Liu yanfang,Zhang xiaoling
发表日期：《Food Policy》,October 2021
摘要（中英文） ：Driven by high value-added benefits as well as the less mature legal systems,informal land transfer becomes widespread in rural China.Based on Institutional Vicissitude Theory,this paper investigates the responses of local stakeholders to the process of informal rural land transfer.Case studies undertaken at Hubei province in China reveal the conflicts in informal land transfer.The article firstly reviews the China’s unique dual land system and land transfer policy.It then investigates different stakeholders in the informal land transfer practices through questionnaire surveys and face-to-face interviews.We demonstrate the mechanism and interaction of different conflicts in China’s informal land transfer system.Our findings also emphasize the need for informal land transfer to align with government policies and regional development plans.The implications help provide an important reference for studying informal land systems in developing countries with similar dilemma generally.
在高附加值利益和法律制度不成熟的驱动下，非正规土地流转在中国农村普遍存在。本文基于制度变迁理论，考察了地方利益相关者对非正式农村土地流转过程的响应。湖北省的案例研究揭示了非正式土地流转中的冲突。本文首先回顾了中国独特的二元土地制度和土地流转政策。然后通过问卷调查和面对面访谈对非正式土地流转实践中的不同利益相关者进行调查。本文论证了我国非正式土地流转制度中不同冲突的机制及其相互作用。我们的研究结果还强调了非正式土地转让的必要性，以与政府政策和区域发展计划保持一致。这一研究结果为研究普遍存在类似困境的发展中国家的非正式土地制度提供了重要参考。
关键词（中英文） ：Land transfer;Land informal practice;Conflicts;Rural policy;China
土地流转；土地非正式流转；冲突；农村政策；中国
期刊介绍：《Food Policy》（《粮食政策》）最新影响因子为2.382，是一份多学科期刊，发表关于发展中国家、转型期国家和发达经济体食品部门政策制定、实施和评估问题的原创研究和新证据。本刊重点刊载食品政策的经济和社会方面的文章，优先考虑为国际食品政策辩论提供信息的实证研究。
15Seasonal Liquidity,Rural Labor Markets,and Agricultural Production
季节性资金流动、农村劳动力市场和农业生产[15]
作者：Günther Fink,B. Kelsey Jack,Felix Masiye
发表日期：《American Economic Review》,November 2020
摘要（中英文） ：Rural economies in many developing countries are characterized by a lean season in the months preceding harvest,when farmers have depleted their cash and grain savings from the previous year.To identify the impacts of liquidity during the lean season,we offered subsidized loans in randomly selected villages in rural Zambia.Ninety-eight percent of households took up the loan.Loan eligibility led to increases in on-farm labor and agricultural output,driving up wages in local labor markets.Larger effects for poorer households suggest that liquidity constraints contribute to inequality in rural economies.
在许多发展中国家农村经济的特点是在收获前的几个月是淡季，此时农民耗尽了前一年的现金和储粮。为了确定淡季资产流动性的影响，我们在赞比亚农村随机选择的村庄提供补贴贷款。98%的家庭接受了贷款。贷款资格导致了农场劳动力和农业产出的增加，推高了当地劳动力市场的工资。对较贫穷家庭的更大影响表明，资金流动性限制加剧了农村经济的不平等。
期刊介绍：《American Economic Review》（《美国经济评论》）是一份综合性的经济学杂志。成立于1911年的AER是美国最古老和最受尊敬的经济学专业学术期刊之一，目前正在庆祝出版超过100年。该杂志共出版12期，内容广泛。最新影响因子为4.250。
16Recovery from the Great Depression:The Farm Channel in Spring 1933
从大萧条中复苏：1933年春季的农场频道[16]
作者：Joshua K. Hausman, Paul W. Rhode,Johannes F. Wieland
发表日期：《American Economic Review》,February 2019
摘要（中英文） ：From March to July 1933,US industrial production rose 57 percent.We show that an important source of recovery was the effect of dollar devaluation on farm prices,incomes,and consumption.Devaluation immediately raised traded crop prices, and auto sales grew more rapidly in states and counties most exposed to these price increases.The response was amplified in counties with more severe farm debt burdens.For plausible assumptions about farmers' relative MPC(marginal propensity to consume),the incidence of higher farm prices,and the aggregate multiplier,this redistribution to farmers accounted for a substantial portion of spring 1933 growth. This farm channel thus provides an example of how the distributional consequences of macroeconomic policies can have large aggregate effects.That recovery in 1933 benefited from redistribution to farmers suggests an important limitation to the use of 1933 as a guide to the effects of monetary regime changes in other circumstances.
从1933年3月到7月，美国工业生产增长了57%。我们表示复苏的一个重要来源是美元贬值对农产品价格、收入和消费的影响。货币贬值立即提高了农产品交易价格，受价格上涨影响最大的州和县的汽车销售增长更快。在农业债务负担较重的县，这种反应被放大了。对于农民的相对边际消费倾向、农产品价格的上涨的发生率以及总体乘数的合理假设，对农民的再分配占了1933年春季经济增长的很大一部分。因此这个农业渠道提供了一个例子，说明宏观经济政策的分配后果如何产生巨大的总体影响。1933年的经济复苏得益于对农民的再分配，表明以1933年为指南来研究其他情况下货币制度变化的影响具有很重要的局限性。
期刊介绍：《American Economic Review》（《美国经济评论》）是一份综合性的经济学杂志。成立于1911年的AER是美国最古老和最受尊敬的经济学专业学术期刊之一，目前正在庆祝出版超过100年。该杂志共出版12期，内容广泛。影响因子为4.250。
17Pastureland use of China:Accounting variations from different input-output analyses
中国草地利用：不同投入产出分析的会计差异[17]
作者：Chaohui Li,Xudong Wu,Guoqian Chen,Mengyao Han,Kuang Chen,Ciren Yangzong,Dan Lo, Ahmed Alsaedi,Tasawar Hayati
发表日期：《Land Use Policy》,October 2021
摘要（中英文） ：This paper conducts a systematic accounting on the use of China’s pastureland in the world economy by using systems embodiment analysis.This study is in direct association with a pioneering paper “Embodied pasture land use change in China 2000–2015:from the perspective of globalization” (Guo et al., 2019).Both the previous and the present work explore China’s case of pastureland use from an embodiment perspective by using systems input-output analysis. However,different results and policy implications were produced.The previous study concluded that China has paid a high price for sacrificing its pastureland resources to foreign regions since it is a net exporter of pastureland resources,and protection policies are urgently needed to reduce such export flow.The results from the present study, on the other hand,show that China is a major importer of pastureland use throughout 2000–2015,and that only 9.51% of China’s exploited pastureland resources are embodied in international trade,leaving around 90.79% of China’s pastureland resources at home to satisfy domestic demand.This paper shows the setting of system boundary and the input-output table used in calculations can determine not only the magnitude of hidden resource use in supply chains but also the direction of resource use flow hidden in international trade.We conclude by raising policy implications based on the present study,and call for uniformity of methods to improve robustness of assessments on trade-related land use studies.
本文采用系统体现分析的方法，对我国草地利用在世界经济中的作用进行了系统的核算。本研究与一篇开创性论文“2000-2015年中国草地土地利用的具体化变化:全球化视角”(Guo et al.， 2019)有直接联系。本文从系统投入产出分析的角度探讨了我国草场利用的具体情况，产生了不同的结果和政策影响。研究认为，我国作为草地资源净出口国，草地资源向国外输出付出了高昂的代价，迫切需要保护政策来减少草地资源的出口流量。研究结果表明，2000-2015年，中国是草地利用的主要进口国，中国已开发的草地资源只有9.51%体现在国际贸易中，约90.79%的草地资源留在国内满足国内需求。本文表明，系统边界的设置和计算中使用的投入产出表不仅可以确定供应链中隐藏资源使用的大小，而且可以确定国际贸易中隐藏的资源使用流的方向。在此基础上，我们提出了政策建议，并呼吁统一方法，以提高贸易相关土地利用研究评估的稳健性。
关键词（中英文） ：China’s pastureland resource;Embodied pastureland use;World economy;Systems input-output analysis
中国草地资源；具体草地使用；世界经济；系统投入产出分析
期刊介绍：《Land Use Policy》（《土地利用政策》），最新影响因子3.682，发表方向涉及城市和农村土地利用的社会、经济、政治、法律、物质和规划方面，研究了发达国家和发展中国家的地理、农业、林业、灌溉、环境保护、住房、城市发展和交通等问题。
18Off-farm employment and grain production change:New evidence from China
非农就业与粮食生产变化：来自中国的新证据[18]
作者：Jin Yang,Qian Wan,WuBi
发表日期：《China Economic Review》,October 2020
摘要（中英文） ：How does off-farm employment affect grain production?Previous research findings are inconsistent.This paper provides a general theoretical framework to explain the effect of off-farm employment on grain production and consider that the effect is non-liner.The empirical results show that off-farm employment decreases grain production and insignificantly changes grain crop structure.Importantly,we find an inverted-U correlation between off-farm employment and grain production,meaning that off-farm employment will increase grain production when the off-farm labor supply is relatively low and will decrease grain production when the off-farm labor supply is relatively high.Further,we investigate the heterogeneity of the causal effect in the destinations of off-farm employment,household's land scale,land features,household location,and household aging.
非农就业如何影响粮食生产?之前的研究结果是不一致的。本文提供了一个广义的理论框架来解释非农就业对粮食生产的影响，并认为非农就业对粮食生产的影响是非线性的。实证结果表明，非农就业降低了粮食生产，但对粮食作物结构的影响不显著。重要的是，非农就业与粮食生产呈倒u型相关关系，非农就业将在非农劳动力供给较低时增加粮食生产，在非农劳动力供给较高时减少粮食生产。进一步，我们考察了非农就业目的地、农户土地规模、土地特征、农户区位和农户老龄化的因果效应异质性。
关键词（中英文） ：Off-farm employment;Grain production;Grain-crop structure
非农就业；粮食生产；粮食作物结构
期刊介绍：《China Economic Review》（《中国经济评论 》）最新影响因子为2.736，主要发表关于中国经济及其与世界经济关系的原著。我们特别寻求有关中国经济体制变化、政策和绩效的定量和分析性论文；鼓励对中国与其他国家的发展过程进行比较研究。
19What Is the Use Value of Irrigation Water from the High Plains Aquifer?
高平原含水层灌溉水的使用价值是什么?[19]
作者：Federico García Suárez,Lilyan E. Fulginiti,Richard K. Perrin
发表日期：《American Journal of Agricultural Economics》,20 September 2018
摘要（中英文） ：This study provides an estimate of the gross value of irrigation water from the U.S. High Plains Aquifer.We estimate a yield function for aggregated crop biomass production,based on county-level observations for 1960–2007.This study found that irrigation increases total biomass yield in this region by an average of 51%.We estimate the average gross annual value of irrigation as of 2007 to be 3 billion across the aquifer.We also estimate that on average across the aquifer,exposure to 24 hours of temperatures above 33°C (one degree day) reduces biomass yield by 3%,with a value in 2007 of about $10 per acre.
这项研究估计了美国高平原含水层灌溉水的总价值。基于1960 -2007年的县级观测数据，我们估算了作物总生物量生产的产量函数。这项研究发现，灌溉增加了该地区总生物量产量平均值的51%。我们估计，到2007年，平均每年灌溉总值为每英亩196美元，整个含水层的总价值约为30亿美元。我们还计算出在2007年含水层在暴露在33摄氏度以上的24小时(每天一度)的情况下，生物产量平均减少3%，减少的价值约为每英亩10美元。
关键词（中英文） ：Groundwater;High Plains Aquifer;irrigation response;production function;yields.
地下水；高平原含水层；灌溉反应；生产函数；产量。
期刊介绍：《AJAE》全称为《American Journal of Agricultural Economics》（《美国农业经济学杂志》）旨在为世界各地的农业和食品经济学、自然资源和环境、以及农村和社区发展等领域的创造性学术工作讨论提供平台。最新影响因子为4.082，刊载方向为管理科学-农业经济与政策。
20Technology Spillovers and Land Use Change:Empirical Evidence from Global Agriculture
技术溢出与土地利用变化：来自全球农业的经验证据[20]
作者：Nelson B. Villoria
发表日期：《American Journal of Agricultural Economics》,04 January 2019
摘要（中英文） ：We estimated the impact of agricultural technological progress in various countries and the entire world on the expansion of arable land,and formally explained the international interdependence of the country’s supply response.To date,there is little evidence of these effects,which has led to polarized views on the potential of improved agricultural technology as a means to slow deforestation.We have found that in most countries in the world,total factor productivity (TFP) is either not related to arable land or positively correlated with the expansion of arable land.However,global TFP growth has always been an important source of savings for global land.The difference between national and global results can be explained by changes in production patterns as countries interact in the international market.Our preferred point for the elasticity of global cultivated land with respect to global TFP growth is estimated to be -0.34.In addition,we estimate that 173 million hectares of food demand increased from 1991 to 2010,or nearly 10% of the tropical rain forest cover area,disappeared without observing TFP growth.
我们预估了各个国家和整个世界农业技术进步对耕地扩张的影响，同时正式地解释了国家供给响应的国际相互依赖关系。迄今为止，有关这些影响的证据还很少，这导致人们对改进农业技术作为减缓森林砍伐的手段的潜力的看法产生两极分化。我们发现，在世界上大多数国家，全要素生产力(TFP)要么与耕地不相关，要么与耕地正相关扩张。然而，全球TFP增长一直是全球土地的一个重要来源储蓄。国家级和全球结果之间的差异可以用各国在国际市场上相互作用时生产模式的变化来解释。我们对全球耕地关于全球TFP增长的弹性的首选点估计是-0.34。此外，我们估计在没有观察到TFP增长的情况下， 1991年至2010年的粮食需求增加的1.73亿公顷，或者是接近热带雨林覆盖面积的10%的森林消失。
关键词（中英文） ：Agricultural technology;deforestation;global agriculture;landusechange;international trade;total factor productivity
农业科技；森林砍伐；农业全球化；土地使用改变；国际贸易；全要素生产力
期刊介绍：《AJAE》全称为《American Journal of Agricultural Economics》（《美国农业经济学杂志》）旨在为世界各地的农业和食品经济学、自然资源和环境、以及农村和社区发展等领域的创造性学术工作讨论提供平台。最新影响因子为4.082，刊载方向为管理科学-农业经济与政策。
21Labor force participation of rural women and the household’s nutrition:Panel data evidence from SAT India
农村妇女的劳动力参与和家庭营养：来自印度SAT的面板数据证据[21]
作者：Nikita Sangwan,Shalander Kumar
发表日期：《Food Policy》 ,July 2021
摘要（中英文） ：This paper investigates the role of women’slabor force participation in the household’s dietary diversity and the value ofhome-production. Using unique household panel data from Semi-Arid tropics ofIndia,empirical estimations from a household fixed effects model reveal apositive significant effect of workdays of women on dietary diversity (overalland home-produced) and home-production.Our findings highlight a significant heterogeneityin the effect by type of work—paid and unpaid.The results for paid work aredriven by a greater decision-making power emanating from labor forceparticipation of women.Unpaid work,on the other hand,operates through theself-consumption of home-produced goods.We show that correcting for endogenouslabor force participation of women leaves our conclusions unchanged.Theresults suggest that interventions boosting female labor force participation inpaid activities are nutrition enhancing for the household and work towards improvingwomen’s bargaining power within the household.Moreover,we rule outdeleterious effects on health indicators of women despite increased timeburden.
本文探讨了女性在家庭饮食多样性和家庭生产中劳动力参与的价值。利用来自印度半干旱热带地区的独特家庭面板数据，来自家庭固定效应模型的经验估计显示，妇女的工作对饮食多样性(总体和家庭生产)和家庭生产有显著的积极影响。我们的研究结果强调了不同工作类型的影响的显著异质性。有偿工作的结果是由妇女参与劳动力而产生的更大的决策权所驱动的。另一方面，无偿工作是通过对国产商品的自我消费来进行的。研究表明，修正妇女的内生劳动力参与对我们的结论没有影响。结果表明，促进女性劳动力参与有偿活动是为家庭增加营养，并致力于提高妇女在家庭内的议价能力。尽管女性劳动力参与有偿活动增加了时间负担，但不对妇女健康产生有害影响。
关键词（中英文） ：Labor;Bargaining;Dietary diversity;Home-production;Gender
劳动力；交易；膳食多样化评分；家庭生产；性别
期刊介绍：《Food Policy》（《粮食政策》），最新影响因子为2.382，是一份多学科期刊，发表关于发展中国家、转型期国家和发达经济体食品部门政策制定、实施和评估问题的原创研究和新证据。本刊重点刊载食品政策的经济和社会方面的文章，优先考虑为国际食品政策辩论提供信息的实证研究。
22Response and adaptation of agriculture to climate change:Evidence from China
农业对气候变化的响应与适应：来自中国的证据[22]
作者：Shuai Chen,Binlei Gong
发表日期：《Journal of Development Economics》,January 2021
摘要（中英文） ：This article aims to identify the mechanism of how climate change affects agriculture through various channels and the mechanism of longer-runadaptation.Using a county-panel dataset spanning the past 35 years,weevaluate the impact of global warming on agricultural total factor productivity(TFP)as well as the impacts on agricultural inputs and outputs in China.Results show that,in the short run,extreme heat has negative effects onChina’s agricultural TFP and input utilization,which results in a morenegative effect on agricultural output measured by yield. However,longer-runadaptation has offset 37.9% of the short-run effects of extreme heat exposureon TFP,while climate adaptation mitigates agricultural output loss to a greater extent due to more flexible adjustment in labor,fertilizer,andmachines in the long run.Despite the detected climate adaptation,projectionsof impacts under future climate change scenarios still imply a substantial lossin China’s agriculture.
本文旨在探讨气候变化通过各种渠道影响农业的机制和长期适应机制。利用35年的县级面板数据，分析了全球变暖对中国农业全要素生产率(TFP)及其对农业投入产出的影响。结果表明，短期内极端高温对中国农业全要素生产率和投入利用具有负面影响，从而对农业产量产生更大的负面影响。然而，长期适应抵消了短期内极端高温暴露对全要素生产率37.9%的影响，而气候适应在更大程度上缓解了农业产出损失。这主要是由于劳动力、肥料和机器的调整在长的时间内更加灵活。尽管已经发现了气候适应，但对未来气候变化情景下影响的预测仍意味着中国农业将遭受重大损失。
关键词（中英文） ：Total factor productivity;Stochastic frontier analysis;Climate change;Response and adaptation;Agriculture in China
全要素生产力；随机前沿分析；气候变化；应对和适应；中国农业
期刊介绍：《Journal of Development Economics》（《发展经济学杂志 》）（JDE）最新影响因子3.875。《发展经济学杂志》发表与经济发展的所有方面有关的原始研究论文——从当前的政策关切到不发达的结构性问题，是学界公认的发展经济学领域的顶级期刊。
23Land reform and human capital development: Evidence from Peru
土地改革与人力资本发展：来自秘鲁的证据[23]
作者：Michael Albertus,Mauricio Espinoza, Ricardo Fort
发表日期：《Journal of Development Economics》,November 2020
摘要（中英文） ：The early establishment and persistence of landholding inequality is linked to poor long-run development outcomes.One crucial channel runs through human capital:large landowners historically underinvested in public goods such as schools, restricted workers and their children from to attending school,and extracted surplus from laborers that could have been invested in human capital.By equalizing landholdings,land redistribution should facilitate human capital accumulation.Using original data on land reform across Peru in the 1970s paired with household surveys,we conduct an age cohort analysis and find instead that higher exposure to land reform negatively impacted educational attainment as measured by the number of years of school attended.The driving mechanisms appear to be economic opportunity as well as income and child labor:individuals exposed to land reform are more likely to remain in rural areas and to have their children contribute labor to agriculture, driving down income in the long term.
土地占有不平等的早期确立和持续存在与不良的长期发展结果有关。一个关键的作用机制是通过人力资本完成的：历史上，大地主对学校等公共物品投资不足，限制工人及其子女上学，并从劳动力那里榨取本可以用于人力资本投资的剩余。通过平等土地占有，土地再分配应有助于人力资本积累。利用20世纪70年代秘鲁土地改革的原始数据，我们结合家庭调查进行了年龄队列分析，结果发现，恰恰相反，接受土地改革的时间越长，受教育程度就越低(以受教育年限衡量)。驱动机制似乎是经济机会、收入和童工：参与土地改革的个人更有可能留在农村地区，并且让他们的孩子为农业做出贡献，从而压低长期收入。
关键词（中英文） ：Land reform;Agriculture;Educational attainment;Child labor;Rural economies
土地改革；农业；受教育程度；童工；农村经济
期刊介绍：《Journal of development economics》（《发展经济学杂志 》），最新影响因子为2.529，主要发表管理科学、农业经济与政策方向文章。
24Has climate change driven urbanization in Africa?
气候变化是否推动了非洲的城市化进程？[24]
作者：J. Vernon Henderson,Adam Storeygard,Uwe Deichmann
发表日期：《Journal of Development Economics》,January 2017
摘要（中英文） ：This paper documents strong but differentiated links between climate and urbanization in large panels of districts and cities in Sub-Saharan Africa,which has dried substantially in the past fifty years.The key dimension of heterogeneity is whether cities are likely to have manufacturing for export outside their regions,as opposed to being exclusively market towns providing local services to agricultural hinterlands.In regions where cities are likely to be manufacturing centers (25% of our sample),drier conditions increase urbanization and total urban incomes.There, urban migration provides an “escape” from negative agricultural moisture shocks.However,in the remaining market towns (75% of our sample),cities just service agriculture.Reduced farm incomes from negative shocks reduce demand for urban services and derived demand for urban labor.There,drying has little impact on urbanization or total urban incomes.Lack of structural transformation in Africa inhibits a better response to climate change.
本文记录了撒哈拉以南非洲地区过去50年里异常干燥的许多地区和城市的气候与城市化之间强烈但有区别的联系。异质性的关键维度是城市是否有可能拥有出口到区域以外的制造业，而不是专门为农业腹地提供本地服务的小市场城镇。在那些城市可能成为制造业中心的地区(样本的25%)，干旱条件会加快城市化和增加城市总收入。在那里，城市移民提供了一种“逃避”不利的农业缺水冲击的途径。然而，在其余的小市场城镇中(样本中75%)，城市只服务于农业。负面冲击导致的农业收入减少降低了对城市服务的需求以及对城市劳动力的衍生需求。干旱在这些地方对城市化或城市总收入的影响很小。非洲结构转型的匮乏阻碍了其更好地应对气候变化。
关键词（中英文） ：Africa;Urbanization;Climate change
非洲；城市化；气候变化
期刊介绍：《Journal of Development Economics》（《发展经济学杂志 》）（JDE）最新影响因子3.875。《发展经济学杂志》发表与经济发展的所有方面有关的原始研究论文——从当前的政策关切到不发达的结构性问题，是学界公认的发展经济学领域的顶级期刊。
25Fertilizing growth: Agricultural inputs and their effects in economic development
施肥增长:农业投入及其对经济发展的影响[25]
作者：John W.McArthur ，Gordon C.McCordb
发表日期：9 March 2017
摘要（中英文）：This paper estimates the role of agronomic inputs in cereal yield improvements and the consequences for countries' processes of structural change. The results suggest a clear role for fertilizer, modern seeds and water in boosting yields. We then test for respective empirical links between agricultural yields and economic growth, labor share in agriculture and non-agricultural value added per worker. The identification strategy includes a novel instrumental variable that exploits the unique economic geography of fertilizer production and transport costs to countries' agricultural heartlands. We estimate that a half ton increase in staple yields generates a 14 to 19 percent higher GDP per capita and a 4.6 to 5.6 percentage point lower labor share in agriculture five years later. The results suggest a strong role for agricultural productivity as a driver of structural change.
本文估计了农业投入在谷物产量提高中的作用以及对各国结构变化过程的影响。结果表明，肥料、现代种子和水在提高产量方面有明确作用。然后，我们检验了农业产量与经济增长、农业劳动份额和每个工人的非农业增加值之间各自的经验联系。识别策略包括一种新的工具变量，利用化肥生产独特的经济地理和各国农业中心地带的运输成本。我们估计，五年后，主食产量每增加半吨，人均国内生产总值就会提高14%至19%，而农业劳动占比则会降低4.6至5.6个百分点。这些结果表明，农业生产率作为结构性变化的驱动力发挥了强大的作用。
关键词（中英文）；Agriculture;Fertilizer;Structural change;Growth;Green revolution
农业；化肥；结构性变化；增长；绿色革命
期刊介绍：《Journal of Development Economics》（JDE）最新影响因子3.875。《发展经济学杂志》发表与经济发展的所有方面有关的原始研究论文——从当前的政策关切到不发达的结构性问题，是学界公认的发展经济学领域的顶级期刊。
友情链接
中国非正规农村建设用地流转实践中的冲突：以湖北为例: 文献链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837721002969
[15]季节性资金流动、农村劳动力市场和农业生产: 文献链接：https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20180607
[16]从大萧条中复苏：1933年春季的农场频道: 文献链接：https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20170237
[17]中国草地利用：不同投入产出分析的会计差异: 文献链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837721003203
[18]非农就业与粮食生产变化：来自中国的新证据: 文献链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043951X20301164
[19]高平原含水层灌溉水的使用价值是什么?: 文献链接：https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1093/ajae/aay062
[20]技术溢出与土地利用变化：来自全球农业的经验证据: 文献链接：https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1093/ajae/aay088
[21]农村妇女的劳动力参与和家庭营养：来自印度SAT的面板数据证据: 文献链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919221000968
[22]农业对气候变化的响应与适应：来自中国的证据: 文献链接：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2020.102557
[23]土地改革与人力资本发展：来自秘鲁的证据: 文献链接：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2020.102540
[24]气候变化是否推动了非洲的城市化进程？: 文献链接：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.09.001
[25]施肥增长:农业投入及其对经济发展的影响: 文献链接：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.02.007
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