独家专访IMF首席经济学家：为什么IMF调高中国经济增速到8.1%

近日，国际基金组织（IMF）亚太部助理主任、中国事务主管黑尔格·贝格尔（Helge Berger）在接受CGTN独家专访时，盛赞中国疫情防控和经济复苏的显著成效，并对中国经济转型的前景做出乐观预估。

IMF在最新发布的《世界经济展望报告》指出，在2020年疫情影响下，中国经济仍然实现2.3%的增长，全球唯一实现正增长的主要经济体，预测中国将在2021年实现8.1%的增长。

报告显示，2020年全球经济预计萎缩3.5%。目前看来，2020年下半年经济增长好于预期影响，萎缩幅度较此前预期收窄0.9个百分点。

随着多支疫苗获准上市，人们对疫情形势转好抱有更高预期，全球经济复苏势头强劲。IMF预测，2021年全球经济将实现反弹，预计增长5.5%，其中美国和欧元区经济将分别增长5.1%和4.2%。

在复苏企稳前，未来经济很大程度上取决于全球疫情是否都得到控制，以及各国能否提供有效的政策支持等。

Helge Berger, IMF's China mission chief and assistant director in the Asia and Pacific Department, said in an interview with CMG that he applauds China's anti-pandemic achievements and economic recovery. He also expressed expectations for the prospects of China's economic transformation.

China's economy is projected to expand by 8.1 percent in 2021, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday.

The forecast is 0.2 percentage point above its estimate half a month ago, according to the organization's latest update to its World Economic Outlook. It is also projected that the global economy will grow by 5.5 percent in 2021.

IMF首席经济学家吉塔·戈皮纳特（Gita Gopinath）在周二召开的线上发布会上也对中国经济增长态势表示了肯定，称当前中国经济的复苏步伐在全球遥遥领先。

戈皮纳特表示，“全球经济正从今年上半年崩溃的深渊中恢复过来”。此次IMF上调对全球经济增长的预期，反映了对疫苗问世有望推动经济复苏的预判以及几个主要经济体追加政策支持的影响。

与此同时，她认为，除中国预计今年能实现正增长之外，由疫情引发的发达经济体与新兴和发展中经济体之间的收入前景差异预计将进一步拉大。

China returned to its pre-pandemic projected level in the fourth quarter of 2020, ahead of all large economies, said IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath at a virtual press briefing on Tuesday.

The upgrade for 2021 reflects the positive effects of the onset of vaccinations in some countries, additional policy support at the end of 2020 in economies such as the United States and Japan, she added.

The fourth-quarter growth brought the country's full-year expansion to 2.3 percent, which indicates that China led major economies in annual positive growth in 2020, while many others continue to grapple with the pandemic.

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