特朗普团队毁了美国，还想拉中国陪葬（中英双语）

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编者按：过去三年、三个月、三周、三秒，特朗普与其团队做了什么？连美国人自己都认为，现在的美国已是“失败国家”。在第35篇“变局”专栏中，作者王文讲述了一位中国学者对美国“失败国家化”的看法。

本文英文版在Global Times的版面截图

谁能想到，美国会自我认定“失败国家”。这原本是近20年前美国给伊拉克、伊朗、朝鲜等敌对国家戴的帽子。2005年美国的智库还给全球各国编制失败国家指数。

但很快，这个失败指数就用到自己身上了。曾宣称“历史将终结于美国式模式”的弗朗西斯·福山大转向，2016年撰文《美国已成为失败国家》，推测美国将完全放弃其全球领导地位。2020年4月，《大西洋月刊》刊发著名美国作家乔治·帕克的长文《我们生活在一个失败国家》，认为这场新冠病毒使美国陷入彻底混乱中的乞丐国家，现在的美国面临的崩溃比1940年贝当政府时的法国规模更大、程度更深。

对于一个绝大多数国民曾崇拜美国的国度，中国并不会幸灾乐祸。中国是关心美国民众的，截至4月20日，已向美国提供了24.6亿个口罩，相当于每位美国人7个，以及5000个呼吸机。但中国需要汲取的教训是，这个曾经伟大的国家，为何会沦落到无力保护国民生命、政治相互否决、精英腐败贪婪、社会严重分裂的境地呢？ 

中国还需要防范的是，这个迄今仍是全球综合实力最强的国家将采取何种激进政策，包括为其失败将中国视为替罪羊。典型的例子是，美国《政治报》近日曝光了共和党已向全国竞选机构发送了一份长达57页的备忘录，建议共和党候选人们通过积极攻击中国来寻求今年年底的竞选胜利。

这种污陷实在是国家低劣化的表现。不过，从历史上看，特朗普政府的每一项激进政策，看似在获取一些自我利益，实则都在毁掉这个国家。

过去三年，特朗普政府退出TPP、巴黎气候协议、联合国教科文组织、联合国移民契约、伊核协议、联合国人权理事会、中导条约、万国邮政联盟、武器贸易条件等，几乎毁掉了冷战结束以来的国际秩序根基。

过去三个月，特朗普政府用了“无限量宽”等“大水漫灌”措施，将美联储的资产负责表规模翻倍，使美元变成全球货币秩序中最长期、最不稳定的因素，也导致国际金融体系的原有大厦强烈晃动，全球资产随时面临着暴跌暴涨的风险。

过去三周，特朗普政府恶化国际石油战，导致油价狂跌，石油期货首次跌入负值，冲破了全球石油产销网络与产价机制，打乱了全球资源秩序，也使美国出现了主动退出了维系半个世纪的石油霸权体系的迹象。

过去三秒，说不定特朗普又会用一个或几个词组发出令人惊愕的表态。无数人在感慨，美国制度怎能纵容这样人作为总统。“华盛顿共识”已死，美国长期所坚持的民主、自由、人权的灯塔彻底已倒下。

现在，这届几乎令多数美国知识精英都不满的美国政府，祸害了自己，还想加害中国。如果说“甩锅”中国，只是像一个道德败坏者冲着无辜者、甚至对自己有帮助者吐唾沫的话，那么，通过类似“台北法案”、企图索赔等措施无疑是对中国挥舞拳头、摩拳擦掌。就像平时我在授课时的某些坏孩子，自己考不了高分，还要埋怨别人，甚至还想让别人也考不了高分。

中国无意与现任的美国政府死嗑，更不愿意当美国帝国坠落的陪葬品。走好自己的路，仍是中国的关键。中国有信心不仅做好防疫的模范生，也做好复工复产的优等生。

只是很让人惋惜，特朗普政府似乎是打开了“潘多拉魔盒”，让冷战结束以来的所有丑恶、争斗、分裂、不测、自私飞遍了世界。美国霸权已不再，但美国仍将是实力雄厚的国家。这样的肆意妄为，不只是美国的灾难，同样是人类的灾难。

或许我所尊敬的斯蒂格利茨先生的期待应该是所有人的愿望：“前进的唯一道路，也是拯救这个星球与文明的唯一道路，就是让历史重生。我们必须重振启蒙运动，重新致力于兑现其自由、尊重知识和民主的价值理念。”

特朗普称不会对误服消毒液激增负责

以下为英文版

Trump team is driving US to ‘failed state’ status

By Wang Wen

It's unthinkable that US media outlets would call their own country a "failed state." The term was once used to describe US adversaries such as Iran and Iraq.

The US think tank Fund for Peace started its annual report called Failed States Index in 2005. It has been renamed the Fragile States Index and is produced jointly with Foreign Policy magazine. It didn't take long for the US to be included in the index.

US political scientist Francis Fukuyama, who once believed history would end with liberal democracy as the final form of government for all countries, has since changed his mind, writing in his 2016 article "America: the failed state" that the US should give up "entirely on global leadership." In another article titled "We Are Living in a Failed State" published by The Atlantic, staff writer George Packer said that the coronavirus has made the US "a beggar nation in utter chaos" and that "like France in 1940, America in 2020 has stunned itself with a collapse that's larger and deeper than one miserable leader."

Many people in China who once worshiped the US are not taking any pleasure in witnessing the decline of the US. China cares about Americans. 

"As of April 20, China had provided the US with over 2.46 billion masks, meaning seven masks for each [person] in the US, plus nearly 5,000 ventilators" and many other types of medical equipment, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying said on Twitter on Thursday. 

China does need to take a lesson from the US and examine why the once great country has failed to protect its people, fallen into political division, been stunned by corruption and unparalleled social divide?

China must continue to be wary of US radical policies, including making China a scapegoat for its failures. The news site Politico reported on Friday, that the National Republican Senatorial Committee "has sent [election] campaigns a detailed, 57-page memo authored by a top Republican strategist advising GOP candidates to address the coronavirus crisis by aggressively attacking China." According to Politico, "Republicans have indicated they plan to make China a centerpiece of the 2020 campaign."

Attempts to stigmatize China reflect the degradation of the US. The Trump administration's radical policies that at first seem to create an advantage actually damage the US.

Over the last three years, the Trump administration has nearly destroyed the foundation of international order that's been in place since the end of the Cold War. It has pulled out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the Paris Agreement, the United Nations Human Rights Council, the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, and many other international treaties and organizations. 

Over the past three months, the Trump administration has doubled the Federal Reserve's balance sheet via measures including quantitative easing and strong stimulus policies, making US dollar the most unstable factor in the global monetary order. It has also severely shaken the international financial system. Global assets are now facing the risk of suddenly plunging or skyrocketing at any time.

Over the past three weeks, the Trump administration has escalated the international oil price war, causing oil prices to collapse. For the first time in history, crude oil was trading at negative prices on April 20, disturbing the global energy market, and making the US withdraw from the oil hegemony system that it has maintained for half a century.

Over the past three seconds, Trump might have made even more startling statements again. Numerous people are wondering how the US system can tolerate such a person as a president. The Washington Consensus is dead, the beacon of democracy, freedom and human rights that the US has long adhered to has collapsed. 

The current US government, which most US elites are dissatisfied with, is not only hurting itself, it also wants to harm China. The US scapegoating China makes the US look like some immoral person spitting at an innocent person. The signing of the TAIPEI Act and seeking compensation from China for coronavirus losses are without doubt equivalent to clenching its fists and getting ready to throw punches. 

It is like a bad kid who gets low marks, blames others and even undermines their chances of passing the exam. 

China will not get stuck in the blame game with the US, nor will it become a grave good of a declining US. Going its own way is still key for China. China is confident of doing a good job in not only containing the virus, but also resuming economic activities. 

It is a pity that the Trump administration seems to have opened this Pandora's box, allowing fighting, division, unpredictability and selfishness to spread around the world. The US is no longer the world's dominant force, but it is still powerful. If it continues its willful misbehavior, Washington will bring disaster not only to the US, but all of human kind. 

Nobel laureate in economics, Joseph E. Stiglitz, once wisely noted; "The only way forward, the only way to save our planet and our civilization, is a rebirth of history. We must revitalize the Enlightenment and recommit to honoring its values of freedom, respect for knowledge and democracy."

The author is professor and executive dean of Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies at Renmin University of China, and executive director of China-US People-to-People Exchange Research Center. His latest book is Great Power's Long March Road.

《强国长征路：百国调研归来看中华复兴与世界未来》（王文 著）中共中央党校出版社（请点击购买）

《数字中国：区块链、智能革命与国家治理的未来》（王文 刘玉书 著） 中信出版社（请点击购买）

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