国际视野 | Nature Climate Change-2019年第三期

Volume 9 Issue 3,

March 2019

Image:

 John J. Magnuson, University of Wisconsin-Madison. 

Cover Design: 

Tulsi Voralia.

输

Decreasing lake ice

New research shows that extensive loss of lake ice cover, like that on the north shore of Lake Mendota, Wisconsin, United States (pictured on cover), will occur within the next generation with climatic warming. Loss of lake ice may decrease availability of freshwater, degrade water quality, reduce access to winter ice roads and limit winter recreation opportunities.

See Sharma et al..

Editorial

Editorial | 25 February 2019

An appetite for destruction

Food links human health with that of our environment. Changes to eating habits are urgently needed if we are to achieve the Paris Agreement goals — changes that will also address the leading causes of ill health in the world today.

Comment

Comment | 25 February 2019

Celebrating the anniversary of three key events in climate change science

Climate science celebrates three 40th anniversaries in 2019: the release of the Charney report, the publication of a key paper on anthropogenic signal detection, and the start of satellite temperature measurements. This confluence of scientific understanding and data led to the identification of human fingerprints in atmospheric temperature.

Benjamin D. Santer, Céline J. W. Bonfils[…] & Cheng-Zhi Zou

Q&A

Q&A | 25 February 2019

Climate research for the twenty-first century

As the World Climate Research Programme approaches its fortieth anniversary, Nature Climate Change speaks to Julia Slingo, leader of a major review of the programme, about its achievements and future directions.

Bronwyn Wake

Research Highlights

Research Highlight | 25 February 2019

Seasonally uneven warming

Alastair Brown

Research Highlight | 25 February 2019

Coal methane unabated

Adam Yeeles

Research Highlight | 25 February 2019

Overturning observations

Bronwyn Wake

Research Highlight | 25 February 2019

Social capital supports action

Jenn Richler

News & Views

News & Views | 25 February 2019

Support for climate unilateralism

According to the conventional wisdom, defection by one country from global climate cooperation should undermine the incentives for other countries to act. But new research shows that the public in the United States and China both maintain robust support for national climate reforms, even when a major carbon polluter stops cooperating.

Matto Mildenberger

News & Views | 25 February 2019

Drivers of peak and decline

To meet the Paris Agreement goals, CO2 emissions in industrial countries must decrease over the long term. Now research shows that an increase in the share of renewable energy and a decrease in energy use have contributed to emissions reductions in industrial countries, but enhanced policies are needed to decouple economic growth from emissions.

Kuishuang Feng

News & Views | 25 February 2019

Australian wheat beats the heat

Collaborative research utilizing field trials and whole farm crop simulation enables adaptation of Australian wheat crop practices. Novel varieties sown earlier enable a longer growing season, which facilitates wheat yield increases despite an increasingly challenging climate.

Ken E. Giller & Frank Ewert

Perspectives

Perspective | 14 January 2019

Evidence-based strategies to combat scientific misinformation

This Perspective synthesizes research on the origins and impacts of scientific misinformation campaigns, pointing to public inoculation, legal, political and financial strategies for countering climate change misinformation and limiting its dissemination.

Justin Farrell, Kathryn McConnell & Robert Brulle

Perspective | 25 February 2019

Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research

Big data is increasingly popular in many research domains. This Perspective discusses where elements of big data approaches have been employed in climate research and where combining big data with theory-driven research can be most fruitful.

Benedikt Knüsel, Marius Zumwald[…] & Reto Knutti

Perspective | 18 February 2019

Achievement of Paris climate goals unlikely due to time lags in the land system

The Paris Agreement requires substantial changes in the land system. However, national implementation plans are vague, largely insufficient and unlikely to be fully achieved. Realistic policies require proper consideration of land-system lags.

Calum Brown, Peter Alexander[…] & Mark Rounsevell

Matters Arising

Matters Arising | 25 February 2019

Brazilian ethanol expansion subject to limitations

Alexandre C. Köberle, Joana Portugal-Pereira[…] & Roberto Schaeffer

Matters Arising | 25 February 2019

Reply to: Brazilian ethanol expansion subject to limitations

Deepak Jaiswal, Amanda P. De Souza[…] & Stephen P. Long

Letters

Letter | 25 February 2019

Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies

Between 2005 and 2015, several developed economies experienced decreases in CO2 emissions. In this study, emissions in 18 countries are broken down and the potential effects of energy and climate policies on emission declines are explored.

Corinne Le Quéré, Jan Ivar Korsbakken[…] & Detlef P. van Vuuren

Letter | 25 February 2019

Robust eligibility criteria essential for new global scheme to offset aviation emissions

Aviation’s contribution to global emissions is increasing and requires action. This paper shows that the International Civil Aviation Organization plan to offset increasing emissions will not be realized unless robust criteria for the eligibility of offset credits are adopted.

Carsten Warnecke, Lambert Schneider[…] & Harry Fearnehough

Letter | 28 January 2019

The transient response of atmospheric and oceanic heat transports to anthropogenic warming

The compensation between atmospheric and oceanic heat transports under anthropogenic warming can be linked to the combined impact of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation weakening, perturbations to Southern Ocean heat storage, and coupled responses of the Hadley and Subtropical cells.

Chengfei He, Zhengyu Liu & Aixue Hu

Letter | 28 January 2019

Widespread loss of lake ice around the Northern Hemisphere in a warming world

Up to 35,000 lakes in the Northern Hemisphere may be at risk of intermittent winter ice cover at 2 °C warming, reveals an observation-based study. This would affect 394 million people reliant on lake ice for ecosystem services.

Sapna Sharma, Kevin Blagrave[…] & R. Iestyn Woolway

Letter | 11 February 2019

Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying as a transient response to warming

Warming is altering subtropical precipitation; however, it is not clear whether this will continue in an equilibrium climate. Using projections to 2300, Southern Hemisphere drying is shown to be a transient response to the meridional temperature gradient changes.

J. M. Kale Sniderman, Josephine R. Brown[…] & Malte Meinshausen

Letter | 25 February 2019

Prediction of unprecedented biological shifts in the global ocean

Abrupt community shifts, for marine species from zooplankton to fish, are shown to occur with local climate changes in which warming pushes species beyond their thermal niche. This modelling approach suggests future events will be larger and have more broad-reaching impacts.

G. Beaugrand, A. Conversi[…] & M. Edwards

Letter | 25 February 2019

Early sowing systems can boost Australian wheat yields despite recent climate change

Crop models suggest that early sowing and slower-developing cultivars could maintain Australian wheat yields despite less-favourable climatic conditions. Field trials now confirm the potential of this adaptation for wheat production across Australia.

James R. Hunt, Julianne M. Lilley[…] & John A. Kirkegaard

Articles

Article | 25 February 2019

Commitment failures are unlikely to undermine public support for the Paris agreement

Climate change mitigation requires cooperation among nations, which could be undermined if a major emitter defects from international agreements. This study shows that public support for global climate policies is unaffected by information on other countries failing to reduce their emissions.

Liam F. Beiser-McGrath & Thomas Bernauer

Amendments & Corrections

Publisher Correction | 10 January 2019

Publisher Correction: Beliefs about minority groups

Jenn Richler

Publisher Correction | 23 January 2019

Publisher Correction: Boreal forest biomass accumulation is not increased by two decades of soil warming

Hyungwoo Lim, Ram Oren[…] & Sune Linder

来源：

Nature Climate Change

整理、排版：TM

责任编辑：梁龙武

审核：任宇飞  王冠 

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