2019 AJAE 杰出论文奖：移民改革与农业劳动力市场【转】

The 2019 AAEA Outstanding American Journal of Agricultural Economics Article Award:

摘要简单翻译：

美国各地的农民报告说工人短缺。同时，有人建议加强现行移民法的执行。在本文中，我们开发了一种均衡方法来研究从加利福尼亚农业劳动力市场撤离无证工人的影响，并使用个人工人数据来推断是否存在短缺的迹象。我们发现有证据表明，加州农场劳动力市场的某些子行业持续短缺。此外，我们对一系列可能的政策替代方案进行了反事实的政策模拟，发现将50％的无证农业工人从州中撤出将导致工资增加22％以上。

Abstract

Farmers throughout the United States report a shortage of workers. At the same time, there are proposals to strengthen the enforcement of existing immigration laws. In this paper, we develop an equilibrium approach to examine the impact of removing undocumented workers from the California agricultural labor market, and to infer whether there is evidence of shortages using individual-worker data. We find evidence that is consistent with a persistent shortage in some sub-sectors of the California farm labor market. Further, we conduct counter-factual policy simulations over a range of possible policy alternatives, and find that removing 50% all undocumented farm workers from the state would lead to an increase in wages of over 22%.

https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aay027

其他年份获奖论文请访问AJAE网站：

https://www.aaea.org/publications/ajae

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