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阅读|流动性风险的市场定价:来自中国的证据

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Market pricing of liquidity risk: evidence from China

流动性风险的市场定价:来自中国的证据中国投资组合为

Raheel Safdar
Department of Economics and Business Management, UVAS Business School,
University of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan
Mirza Sultan Sikandar
International Business School,
Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, China, and
Tanveer Ahsan
Rennes School of Business, Rennes, France

Citation:

Safdar, R., Sultan Sikandar, M. and Ahsan, T. (2019), "Market pricing of liquidity risk: evidence from China", China Finance Review International, Vol. 9 No. 4, pp. 554-566. https://doi.org/10.1108/CFRI-01-2019-0013

摘要 Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether liquidity risk (i.e. the returns’ vulnerability to the unexpected changes in overall market liquidity) is a priced risk factor in China. Moreover, it investigates the potential role of a stock’s information quality in reducing its liquidity risk during the period of post-non-tradable shares reforms in China. The authors collect data of all the A-share issuing firms listed either on the Shanghai Stock Exchange or Shenzhen Stock Exchange during the period 2006–2016. The authors perform two-stage cross-sectional regression testing. First, the authors perform firm-specific time-series regressions of excess returns over Fama–French’s three-factor model and a liquidity factor. Second, to test whether firm-specific liquidity risk is a priced risk factor, the authors apply Fama and MacBeth’s regressions. Firm-level asset pricing tests provide substantial evidence for market pricing of liquidity risk in China. The authors find a significant negative association between information quality and liquidity risk. The authors also find that the reduction in liquidity risk induced by better information quality is substantial enough to reduce required returns. These findings are robust to alternative measures of liquidity risk and information quality. The study underscores that a policy initiative to enhance the information environment can significantly reduce the market volatility in China. To the best of authors’ knowledge, this is the first study that considers the Shanghai Stock Exchange as well as Shenzhen Stock Exchange to investigate market pricing of liquidity risk in China.

Keywords: China, Liquidity risk, Information quality, Asset pricing


Hypothesis and Data

H1. Liquidity risk is a priced risk factor in China.
H2. Better information quality reduces a stock’s liquidity risk.

Our initial sample comprises of all the A-share issuing firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange or Shenzhen Stock Exchange during the period 2006–2016. We do not consider the period before the year 2006 due to following two reasons. First, in the year 2006, the non-tradable shares reforms were introduced in China which granted trading rights to a larger chunk of hitherto non-tradable shares. These reforms changed the market structure, and the market activity was vigorous in the subsequent years. Second, China adopted IFRS in the year 2006, paving the way for the availability of reliable accounting information to market participants. All the required data are obtained from the CSMAR database.

Empirical analysis

LIQ series and A-share market

Firm-specific timevariant factor betas

Descriptive statistics and correlation analysis

Market pricing of liquidity risk

Information quality and firm’s liquidity risk

Fama–MacBeth’s estimations

Conclusion

Building on the works of Pastor and Stambaugh (2003) and Ng (2011), this study investigates whether the liquidity risk is a priced risk factor in China. Moreover, it investigates the role of information quality in reducing a firm’s liquidity risk. To carry out the purpose of the study, we collect data of all the A-share issuing firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange as well as Shenzhen Stock Exchange during the period 2006–2016. Based on firm-level asset pricing tests, this study provides substantial evidence that liquidity risk is a priced risk factor in China during the period of post-non-tradable share reforms. The results also suggest a strong negative association between information quality and liquidity risk. Next, the results from Fama and MacBeth’s (1973) two-step estimations provide empirical support that better information quality reduces liquidity risk resulting in significantly reduced expected returns in China. Accordingly, the study suggests that a policy initiative to improve the information environment can significantly help to reduce the market volatility in China.


《中国金融评论》介绍



The China Finance Review International, is published in association with the Antai College of Economics and Management at Shanghai Jiao Tong University, one of the top universities in China. The journal publishes quality empirical and theoretical research on financial and economic issues.

 

The China Financial Review International aims to promote discussions and publish works helpful to understand important finance and economic issues in the world, especially in China and other emerging markets. We encourage ground-breaking works related to new and niche areas in finance, such as Fintech and socially responsible investments. Critical thinking is a key area the journal emphasizes. We therefore welcome critiques to existing literature and published works in the context of uniqueness of the Chinese market and comparative analysis between emerging markets and developed economies.

 

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