结果不显著但成功发在Top期刊上的论文有哪些？你心虚过没？
凡是搞计量经济的，都关注这个号了
稿件：econometrics666@126.com
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下面这些就是，结果不显著但成功发在Top期刊上的论文，可遇而不可求：
Asher, Sam, and Paul Novosad. 2020. "Rural Roads and Local Economic Development【农村公路与地方经济发展】." American Economic Review, 110 (3): 797-823.
Katherine Casey & Rachel Glennerster & Edward Miguel, 2012. "Reshaping Institutions: Evidence on Aid Impacts Using a Preanalysis Plan【重塑机构：来自使用预分析计划评估援助影响的证据】," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 127(4), pages 1755-1812.,
KALLA, J., & BROOCKMAN, D. (2018). The Minimal Persuasive Effects of Campaign Contact in General Elections: Evidence from 49 Field Experiments【大选中竞选接触的最小说服效应:来自49个现场实验的证据】. American Political Science Review,**112(1), 148-166. doi:10.1017/S0003055417000363
Lucas, A., & Mbiti, I. (2014). Effects of School Quality on Student Achievement: Discontinuity Evidence from Kenya【学校质量对学生成绩的影响:来自肯尼亚的断点回归证据】. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 6(3), 234-263. doi:10.2307/43189496
Agustina S. Paglayan, 2019. "Public‐Sector Unions and the Size of Government【公共部门工会与政府规模】," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 63(1), pages 21-36, January.
Meghir, Costas, Mårten Palme, and Emilia Simeonova. 2018. "Education and Mortality: Evidence from a Social Experiment【教育与死亡率:来自社会实验的证据】." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 10 (2): 234-56.
Abrevaya, J., & Hamermesh, D. (2012). CHARITY AND FAVORITISM IN THE FIELD: ARE FEMALE ECONOMISTS NICER (TO EACH OTHER)【慈善与偏爱:女性经济学家(对彼此)更好吗?】? The Review of Economics and Statistics, 94(1), 202-207. Retrieved May 8, 2020, from www.jstor.org/stable/41349169
Card, D. (1990). The Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami Labor Market【马里埃尔偷渡事件对迈阿密劳动力市场的影响】. ILR Review, 43(2), 245–257. https://doi.org/10.1177/001979399004300205
Cantoni, D. (2015), THE ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF THE PROTESTANT REFORMATION: TESTING THE WEBER HYPOTHESIS IN THE GERMAN LANDS【新教改革的经济效应:在德国土地上检验韦伯假说】. Journal of the European Economic Association, 13: 561-598. doi:10.1111/jeea.12117
Yagan, Danny. 2015. "Capital Tax Reform and the Real Economy: The Effects of the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut【资本税改革与实体经济:2003年股息税削减的影响】."American Economic Review, 105 (12): 3531-63.
Hoyt Bleakley, Joseph Ferrie, Shocking Behavior: Random Wealth in Antebellum Georgia and Human Capital Across Generations【令人震惊的行为:战前乔治亚州的随机财富和代际之间的人力资本】 , The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 131, Issue 3, August 2016, Pages 1455–1495, https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw014
Blake, T., Nosko, C. and Tadelis, S. (2015), Consumer Heterogeneity and Paid Search Effectiveness: A Large‐Scale Field Experiment【消费者异质性与付费搜索效果:一个大规模的实地实验】. Econometrica, 83: 155-174. doi:10.3982/ECTA12423
David Cesarini, Erik Lindqvist, Robert Östling, Björn Wallace, Wealth, Health, and Child Development: Evidence from Administrative Data on Swedish Lottery Players【财富、健康和儿童发展:来自瑞典彩票玩家管理数据的证据】 , The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 131, Issue 2, May 2016, Pages 687–738, https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw001
Stelios Michalopoulos, Elias Papaioannou, National Institutions and Subnational Development in Africa【非洲的国家机构和国家发展】 , The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 129, Issue 1, February 2014, Pages 151–213, https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjt029
Joppe de Ree, Karthik Muralidharan, Menno Pradhan, Halsey Rogers, Double for Nothing? Experimental Evidence on an Unconditional Teacher Salary Increase in Indonesia【双重免费?印度尼西亚教师无条件加薪的实验证据】, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 133, Issue 2, May 2018, Pages 993–1039, https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjx040
Abdulkadiroğlu, A., Angrist, J. and Pathak, P. (2014), The Elite Illusion: Achievement Effects at Boston and New York Exam Schools【精英错觉:波士顿和纽约考试学校的成就效应】. Econometrica, 82: 137-196. doi:10.3982/ECTA10266
Paul Glewwe, Michael Kremer, Sylvie Moulin, Eric Zitzewitz, Retrospective vs. prospective analyses of school inputs: the case of flip charts in Kenya【学校投入的回顾性和前瞻性分析:肯尼亚的活动挂图案例】, Journal of Development Economics, Volume 74, Issue 1, 2004
Arrow, K. (1950). A Difficulty in the Concept of Social Welfare【社会福利概念上的困难】. Journal of Political Economy, 58(4), 328-346. Retrieved May 8, 2020, from www.jstor.org/stable/1828886
Fidrmuc, J, and Tena, JD ( 2015), Friday the 13th: The Empirics of Bad Luck【13号星期五:坏运气的经验】. Kyklos, 68, 317– 334. doi: 10.1111/kykl.12085.
Clemens, Michael A., Ethan G. Lewis, and Hannah M. Postel. 2018. "Immigration Restrictions as Active Labor Market Policy: Evidence from the Mexican Bracero Exclusion【移民限制作为积极的劳动力市场政策:来自墨西哥的证据】." American Economic Review, 108 (6): 1468-87.
Dupas, Pascaline, Dean Karlan, Jonathan Robinson, and Diego Ubfal. 2018. "Banking the Unbanked? Evidence from Three Countries【为没有银行的提供银行？来自三个国家的证据】." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 10 (2): 257-97.
David Atkin, Azam Chaudhry, Shamyla Chaudry, Amit K. Khandelwal, Eric Verhoogen, Organizational Barriers to Technology Adoption: Evidence from Soccer-Ball Producers in Pakistan【技术采用的组织障碍:来自巴基斯坦足球生产商的证据】, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 132, Issue 3, August 2017, Pages 1101–1164, https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjx010
Banerjee, Abhijit & Duflo, Esther & Glennerster, Rachel & Kinnan, Cynthia. (2013). The Miracle of Microfinance? Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation【小额信贷的奇迹?来自随机评估的证据】. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. 7. 10.2139/ssrn.2250500.
Samuel Bevet, Meredith T. Niles, Lizzy Pope，You can’t “nudge” nuggets: An investigation of college late-night dining with behavioral economics interventions【你不能“轻推”掘金：使用行为经济学干预措施对大学深夜用餐进行的调查】.
Tarozzi, Alessandro, Aprajit Mahajan, Brian Blackburn, Dan Kopf, Lakshmi Krishnan, and Joanne Yoong.2014. "Micro-loans, Insecticide-Treated Bednets, and Malaria: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Orissa, India【小额贷款、经杀虫剂处理的蚊帐和疟疾:来自印度奥里萨邦一项随机对照试验的证据】." American Economic Review, 104 (7): 1909-41.
下面是计量社群对相关问题的讨论：
注：计量社群和相关专业研究小组在积累计量、数据、程序和研究问题方面，在国内专业计量方法或软件社区中做得很不错。不过很多内部专业讨论，由于各种constraints，无法一一与各位学者开展分享和交流。
还有几十个版面的讨论，就不一一列出了，最终大家讨论出了一个很好的结果。
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