AJARE | 盛 誉 等：衡量中国农业全要素生产率 ——1978-2016年的模式和驱动因素【转】
Sheng Yu, Tian Xiaohui, Qiao Weiqing, Peng Chao. Measuring agricultural total factorproductivity in China: pattern and drivers over the period of 1978‐2016[J]. AustralianJournal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2019
摘要简单翻译：
自1978年进行重大改革以来，中国农业部门的总产值已大幅增长。本文使用指数方法，根据1978-2016年以来的总产值模型来衡量中国农作物和畜牧业的农业总要素生产率（TFP）。我们使用26种主要农业商品和商品组的投入产出关系，为各行业构建生产账户，这些投入占农业总投入和产出的90％以上。结果显示，2009年之前，中国的农业全要素生产率以每年约2.4％的速度增长，与经合组织主要国家相当，是世界平均水平的两倍。全要素生产率的增长约占产出增长的40％，这表明投入增长是过去产出增长的主要驱动力。然而，尽管自2012年以来逐渐恢复，2009年之后的平均生产率增速有所放缓。这种放缓反映了中国农业对现有农业生产实践的新挑战，这表明需要进行进一步的体制改革。
Abstract
The Chinese agricultural sector has experienced a substantial increase in total output since dramatic reforms were introduced in 1978. This paper uses the index method to measure agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) for China’s crop and livestock industries, based on the gross output model from 1978 to 2016. We construct production accounts for the industries using input‐output relationships for the 26 main agricultural commodities and commodity groups, which account for over 90 per cent of the total agricultural inputs and outputs. The results show that China’s agricultural TFP grew at a rate of approximately 2.4 per cent a year before 2009, which is comparable to the main OECD countries and is double the world average. TFP growth accounts for approximately 40 per cent of output growth, suggesting that input growth was the main driver of output growth in the past. However, average productivity growth slowed down after 2009 though it has gradually recovered since 2012. The slowdown reflects the emerging challenges to existing farm production practices in Chinese agriculture, suggesting the need for further institutional reform.
https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8489.12327
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