美联储三月议息会议收官,首次降息即将来临?
* “中美友好互信合作计划”是由复旦发展研究院和丰实集团共同打造的中美关系研究的学术平台
引言
美联储三月议息会议
决定维持联邦基准利率不变
在加息与降息的路口,
美联储正面临艰难抉择
未来几个月的经济数据
将成为美联储决策的重要指引
调息遇上大选,
货币政策增添政治色彩
[1] Biden Is on a Roll in Key Swing States, https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-03-26/biden-gains-on-trump-in-several-key-swing-states-new-poll-shows
[2] Biden pulls even with Trump as economic view improves slightly, CNBC survey shows, https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/26/biden-pulls-even-with-trump-as-economic-view-improves-slightly-cnbc-survey-shows.html
[3] Could Fed interest rate cuts tip the election? https://theweek.com/business/economy/interest-rate-cuts-Biden-Trump-election
[4] Elections may tweak sequencing of 2024 rate cuts, https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/elections-may-tweak-sequencing-2024-rate-cuts-mike-dolan-2023-12-15/
[5] Fed chief caught in partisan battle over rate cuts as election looms, https://thehill.com/business/4513519-fed-chief-caught-in-partisan-battle-over-rate-cuts-as-election-looms/
[6] Fed Keeps Pace Slow on a Bumpy Road to Lower Rates, https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/fomc-meeting
[7] FED, Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement, https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20240320a.htm
[8] Federal Reserve expected to cut rates, lift Biden's prospects, https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/federal-reserve-expected-cut-rates-lift-bidens-prospects-2024-03-25/
[9] Federal Reserve expected to cut rates, lift Joe Biden’s re-election prospects, https://www.thehindu.com/business/federal-reserve-expected-to-cut-rates-lift-joe-bidens-re-election-prospects/article67993073.ece
[10] FOMC Meeting: Key Takeaways, https://www.wellsfargoadvisors.com/research-analysis/reports/fed-rate.htm
[11] How voters feel about the economy: 4 takeaways from the latest polls, https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-voters-feel-about-the-economy-4-takeaways-from-the-latest-polls/
[12] How Will the Election Affect Mortgage Rates?, https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/election-affect-mortgage-rates-010003647.html
[13] Interest Rate Cuts Could Be a Boon to Biden, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/31/business/interest-rates-federal-reserve-biden.html
[14] Jerome Powell prepares to lower interest rates during an election year, https://english.elpais.com/economy-and-business/2024-03-24/jerome-powell-prepares-to-lower-interest-rates-during-an-election-year.html
[15] Powell Navigates ‘Toxic’ Politics of Rate Cuts as Election Nears, https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/fed-interest-rate-cuts-election-2024-843cc25a
[16] Powell's Fed role crucial in 2024 election amid interest rate speculations, https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/powells-fed-role-crucial-in-2024-election-amid-interest-rate-speculations/articleshow/108735856.cms
[17] Presidential election or not, the Fed will cut interest rates in the fall if it must, economists say, https://edition.cnn.com/2024/03/17/economy/stocks-week-ahead-fed-presidential-election-interest-rate-cut/index.html
[18] Stock Market Today, March 20, 2024: Indexes Close at Record Highs After Fed Holds Rates Steady, https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/fed-meeting-fomc-interest-rate-decision-march-2024
[19] The Fed hates politics. Now it’s trying to cut rates in an election year, https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/03/06/fed-economy-election/
[20] The Fed Will Ignore Election, Cut Interest Rates Second Half Of 2024, https://www.forbes.com/sites/billconerly/2024/03/27/the-fed-will-ignore-election-cut-interest-rates-second-half-of-2024/?sh=3e87af722e73
[21] US Fed Meet Highlights: Powell-led FOMC keeps key rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50% for 5th straight meeting, https://www.livemint.com/economy/us-fed-meet-live-updates-powell-led-fomc-interest-rate-decision-today-us-fed-policy-20-march-2024-us-inflation-11710930885115.html
[22] Voters remember Trump's economy as being better than Biden's. Here's what the data shows, https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-biden-economy-gdp-wages-inflation/
[23] What could interest rate cuts mean for the 2024 election? https://abcnews.go.com/Business/interest-rate-cuts-2024-election/story?id=105752108
[24] What has the Fed done in election years? https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/adv/insights/market-insights/market-updates/on-the-minds-of-investors/what-has-the-fed-done-in-election-years/
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