学术资讯 | Ejaz Hussain：《中巴经济走廊及一带一路倡议：对大中东地区的影响》
2020年2月24日，复旦发展研究院访问学者、巴基斯坦伊克拉大学政治科学部主任Ejaz Hussain在《亚洲中东与伊斯兰研究期刊》 （Asian Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies）发表以《中巴经济走廊及一带一路倡议：对大中东地区的影响》（CPEC and the Belt and Road Initiative: Economic Implications for the Greater Middle East）为题的论文。
该论文着重分析中巴经济走廊为大中东地区带来的经济效益。中巴经济走廊作为中国一带一路倡议的重要组成部分，重点针对巴基斯坦、沙特阿拉伯、阿拉伯联合酋长国、卡塔尔和阿曼五国。一方面，作者论述了巴基斯坦与该地区其他四国现有的经济合作；另一方面，作者也重点阐述了中国在阿拉伯世界日益增长的贸易合作。
在本文中，作者分析了《沙特阿拉伯2030愿景》、《卡塔尔2030国家愿景》及《阿曼2040愿景》在市场连通方向为跨地区经济合作提供的经济价值。为了实现市场连通，中巴经济走廊作为一带一路倡议的一部分，为跨地区合作的利益相关方提供了连接平台及市场。从现实角度来说，作者认为，在一带一路框架下的中巴经济走廊为大中东地区带来了积极的经济影响，尤其是在现有和未来的过去与贸易和投资发展方面。但是，经济合作的可能性受到了地缘政治的干扰，例如近期伊朗和美国之间的僵局。从补救的角度而言，一带一路倡议可以跨区域的一带一路国家和非一带一路国家之间提供缓冲，尤其对于伊朗、印度和美国而言，这可以使它们更倾向于通过和平方式解决冲突。
Abstract
This article aims to analyse the economic significance of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a core component of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), for the Greater Middle East with focus on Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar and Oman. In so doing, the article underscores on the one hand the existing economic cooperation between Pakistan and the said countries and on the other highlights China’s growing interest in the Arab World in terms of trade. In this respect, the study incorporates the economic values of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, Qatar National Vision (2030) and Oman Vision (2040) which provide for transregional economic cooperation in terms of market connectivity. In order to realise the latter, the CPEC, as part of the BRI, offers itself as means and market to transregional stakeholders. Empirically, the study posits that CPEC under the BRI framework carries positive economic implications for the Greater Middle East on account of existing and emerging investment and trade trends transregionally. Nonetheless, prospects for economic cooperation are beset with geopolitical challenges such as the recent Iran-US stand-off. The BRI, in remedial terms, can generate stakes for transregional (non-) BRI countries, especially Iran, India and the US in order to prefer peaceful means for conflict resolution.
Keywords
CPEC, BRI, Greater Middle East, transregional trade, market connectivity
论文链接（或点击“阅读原文”查看详情）
https://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/DZDFMW4QWYNFN4NG84DE/full?target=10.1080/25765949.2020.1728970
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