西野编译局 | 美国何时才会厌倦与中国的竞争
在quora上关于中美之间的对比一直是一个热门话题，不但数量超出其他话题很大一部分，对比的内容也千奇百怪：
有人担忧中国强大之后是否会占领美国 ↓
有人却替中国人民操起了民主的心↓
眼瞅着自己国家的民主灯塔摇摇欲坠，一些“有识之士”终于坐不住了，但可能是碍于面子不方便直接提问，于是提出了这样一个问题：
When will the US get tired of competing with China?
The United States will not stop its competition and confrontation with China. And it will be a very lasting process. But in the end, the competition will stop because a country is not strong enough.
美国将不会放弃和中国的竞争与对抗，这将是个非常持久的过程。但最终，这种对抗只能因其中一方的衰落而终止。
What is nature? Nature is day and night. Nature is that there are men and women. Nature has both prosperity and decline. Nature is born and died. It is wise to respect and conform to nature, rather than trying to confront it. Nature has its own laws. We must respect and conform to these laws.
什么是法则？是日夜变换，是阴阳交融，是兴衰交替，是生来死亡。尊重和顺应自然是明智的，而不是试图去与之对抗。自然有其法则，我们必须尊重和顺应这些法则。
No one is as strong as ever. As long as it is strong, there will be a decline.
没有谁能一直强大下去，盛久必衰。
How powerful was Britain once? It is called the empire that never sets the sun. A quarter of the earth is in the hands of the British Empire. English has become the universal language in the world.
英国也曾盛极一时吧？被称为日不落帝国。大英帝国掌控了地球四分之一的土地，英语成为了世界的通用语言。
But how about now? Even Scotland wants to leave the UK, and the former British Empire has to face such a result today.
但现在呢？苏格兰甚至想脱离英国，当初的大英帝国如今也不得不面对这样的一个尴尬局面。
Even though Britain is no longer the British Empire, Britain continues to try to show its existence in areas that do not belong to it. It's just that this kind of presentation has become less and less substantial. After all, what is not available on the battlefield is even more impossible at the negotiating table. This is the real world.
尽管英国不再是曾经的大英帝国，但英国仍试图在不再属于它的地方刷存在感。虽然这种存在感越来越弱。 毕竟，战场上得不到的东西，在谈判桌上就更不可能得到。这就是这个世界的法则。
The same is true in the United States. The United States will never stop hitting the second place in the world. The former Soviet Union and Japan, now an ally of the United States, were once the targets of the United States.
美国也同样如此。美国从未停止过对世界第二的打击。前苏联和现在是美国盟友的日本，都曾是美国的打击目标。
How powerful the Soviet Union was in the past, but today it is divided into more than ten countries, which are still at war with each other. Russia and Ukraine, Russia and Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, the color revolution in Kyrgyzstan, and the hostility and monitoring of Russia by the three Baltic countries.
曾经的苏联何其强大，但如今已经分裂成十多个国家，并且仍在互相冲突。例如，俄罗斯和乌克兰、俄罗斯和格鲁吉亚、亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆、吉尔吉斯斯坦的颜色革命，以及敌对和监视俄罗斯的三个波罗的海国家。
The war between Russia and Georgia 俄罗斯和格鲁吉亚间的冲突
The war between Russia and Georgia 俄罗斯和格鲁吉亚间的冲突
The color revolution in Kyrgyzstan 吉尔吉斯斯坦颜色革命
The war between Armenia and Azerbaijan 亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆间的冲突
Japan is an ally that fully accepts the demands of the United States, even willing to give up part of its national sovereignty and fully obey the United States. After Japan's GDP fell to less than one-third of that of the United States, the United States basically dropped its guard and stopped suppressing the Japanese economy. After World War II, the Japanese economy took off and swept the world. Japan, once a warrior and powerful country, is getting depressed step by step today.
日本是美国的盟友，完全接受了美国的一切要求，甚至放弃一部分国家主权去完全服从美国。日本的GDP下降到美国的三分之一后，美国基本放弃了对日本经济的警惕和抑制。二战后，日本经济开始起飞并横扫世界，曾经的军国主义强国，到如今一步步走向衰落。
Therefore, the United States will spare no effort to attack its competitors, no matter who they are. Whether it is a communist country or an ally of the United States, as long as it is considered by the United States to have competitive potential, it must be attacked.
因此，美国将会不遗余力地打击它的竞争对手，无论对手是谁。无论是共产主义国家或是它的盟友，只要被美国认定为潜在对手，它就必须被打击。
There is a great difference between the US today and the US in history. The biggest difference lies in the increasingly distorted and deformed national economic structure. This is not deliberately done by the United States, but the inherent property of financial capital. The United States is a country highly kidnapped by financial capital, and financial capital will continue to expand and harvest the income of people all over the world. For example, Obama and Trump have one thing in common, that is, they asked the manufacturing industry to return to the United States, but they failed in the end. Therefore, it doesn't matter who is the president, but financial capital will not allow high-cost and low-output manufacturing.
当今美国和过去有很大的不同。最大的不同在于国民经济结构日益扭曲变形。美国是一个受到金融资本高度绑架的国家，金融资本会持续扩张并收割所有人的收入。例如，奥巴马和特朗普都做了同一件事，就是邀请制造业重返美国，但他们最终都失败了。因此，无论谁当上总统，金融资本都不会允许高投入低产出的制造业。
However, the strong wind blew the American flag, and Chinese characters were written under the American flag, China Zhenhua Group (ZPMC)
然而，大风吹起美国国旗，露出了被遮盖的写着“中国振华集团”的汉字。
Even CNN joked that we should change a stronger rope next time. But in any case, it shows a dilemma of the American manufacturing industry at present. I think the U.S. government knows better, otherwise, the Obama and Trump administrations can't continue to promote this work.
CNN还开玩笑说下次我们要换上更结实的绳索。
Therefore, the hostility of the United States towards China will never stop, and will only become more and more fierce. America is a shark that can't breathe actively. Sharks who don't swim will suffocate and die.
因此，美国对中国的敌视不会停止，还将愈演愈烈。美国就像一头无法自由呼吸的鲨鱼，不游动就会窒息死亡。
The United States without expansion is the beginning of the division, which can be sustained only by continuous expansion. As China, if it chooses to surrender to the United States, it will end up worse than Japan, even worse than the Soviet Union. China will be divided into many countries, and even fight each other, and the country will have no hope from now on. Can Russia restore the glory of Peter the Great or Yekaterina the Great today? We think it's possible, but we don't know if we'll ever see it again.
美国的霸权地位只能依靠不断地扩张来维持，停止扩张的美国就是其分裂的开始。如果中国选择屈服于美国，将会造成比日本更坏的结果，甚至超过苏联。中国会分裂成许多国家，甚至互相爆发冲突，而且从此以后再也没有任何希望完成民族复兴。俄罗斯如今能恢复到彼得大帝或叶卡捷琳娜大帝时的荣光吗？我们认为是有可能的，但我们不知道有生之年能否等到。
Even if the United States declines, it will continue to contain China like Britain today. It's just that there are substantial capabilities in the United States today, but the substantial capabilities in Britain have almost disappeared.
即使美国衰退了，他也会继续像如今的英国那样牵制中国。那是因为当今美国依旧有强大的影响力，而英国的影响力几乎不存在了。
No matter how you choose, the worst result is death. To accept the demands of the United States unconditionally is to die slowly, and to stand up and resist may still give you hope. If you were the Chinese Government, what would you choose?
无论你如何选择，最坏的结果无非就是毁灭。是无条件接受美国的任何要求，慢慢走向毁灭，还是奋起反抗，可能会给你带来希望。如果你是中国政府，你会如何选择？
But China had a successful experience, which came from Chairman Mao's On Protracted War, and the victory of the Anti-Japanese War almost developed according to the presupposition of On Protracted War. Therefore, today's China still has confidence. We are unwilling to fight, but we have no choice but to survive. It's just that many people don't know Chairman Mao's On Protracted War, which is a good thing for China.
而且，中国是有成功经验的，从毛主席的《论持久战》中能够发现，抗日战争的胜利几乎就是根据《论持久战》的预判而取得的。因此，中国今天仍有信心。我们并不好战，但为了生存我们也别无选择。在与中国的贸易战中，对方的很多人不知道毛主席的《论持久战》，这对中国是个好事情。
Therefore, the United States will not stop its competition and confrontation with China. And it will be a very lasting process. But in the end, the competition will stop because a country is not strong enough.
因此，美国不会停止针对中国的竞争和对抗，这是一个长期的过程。但最终，这些竞争将会由于其中一个国家的衰落而结束。
这位网友直接把孙子兵法安排上了......↓
网友Ivan Chan说：Very insightful. I especially love how apt the USSR example is, because it's exactly how I foresee the future collapse of the USA given its current political and economic strife. For instance, California would be the world's 5th largest economy on its own, Texas doesn't mind leaving, and Hawaii was unfairly annexed, so it's not like things aren't already ripe for a series of secessions.
The Romans loved being Roman until the empire broke in half; then, all of a sudden, it was every man for himself.
（回答）非常有见地。我特别喜欢苏联的例子，多么恰当，因为鉴于美国当前的政治和经济纷争，这正是我所预见的美国未来的崩溃图景。例如，加利福尼亚将自己成为世界第五大经济体，得克萨斯州不介意分裂，夏威夷被不公平地吞并，因此，美国的分裂并非遥遥无期，而是暗流涌动。
罗马人一直以罗马为傲，直到庞大的帝国分裂成两半。
然后，忽剌剌似大厦倾。
外文文章作者 | Ezio Yao
翻译 | Shauny
整理 | 梅东 & Horizon
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